000 AGXX40 KNHC 211805 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EST MON JAN 21 2008 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. UPPER LEVELS... HIGH CENTERED NEAR 22N55W WITH RIDGE ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL AMERICA. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS NORTHWEST OF THE RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO FLORIDA AND THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLANTIC. BY TUESDAY THE RIDGE WILL BE SOUTH OF 23N WITH BROAD WESTERLY FLOW NORTH OF 23N. THE WESTERLIES WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH THURSDAY WHEN A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OFF THE U.S. EAST COAST. ON FRIDAY A TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE ATLANTIC AREA NORTH OF 25N WITH A RIDGE ELSEWHERE INCLUDING THE GULF OF MEXICO. ON SATURDAY THE TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST OF 70W WITH A HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 22N92W AND A RIDGE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SURFACE... FRONT FROM NEAR 31N50W TO WINDWARD PASSAGE AND STRONG RIDGE JUST EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC U.S. IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO 30 KT IN THE ATLANTIC NORTH OF THE FRONT AND ALSO OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO N OF 23N. THE ASSOCIATED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND BROAD LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN SOUTH AMERICA IS ALSO CAUSING TRADES IN THE CARIBBEAN W OF ABOUT 80W OF 20 TO 25 KT AND TO 30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST WITH A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER MOST OF THE AREA BY LATE TUESDAY...HOWEVER THE TRADES IN THE CARIBBEAN E OF 80W AND S OF 18N WILL CONTINUE. THE ABOVE MENTIONED STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO BUILDING A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. IN ITS WAKE WEDNESDAY. AS THE HIGH DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST COUPLED WITH A STRONG LOW DEVELOPING NORTH OF BERMUDA WILL INCREASE THE WINDS OVER THE AREA NORTH OF 25N THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY THERE WILL BE STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WITH A COLD FRONT FROM NEAR 31N55W TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE AND ACROSS THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN WITH WINDS ABOVE 20 KT NORTH OF THE FRONT. TRADES CONTINUE IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. BY SATURDAY THE RIDGE WILL MOVE SOUTH TO NEAR 31N WITH THE STRONG WINDS MOSTLY SOUTH OF 25N EAST OF 87W. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER LL