000
AGXX40 KNHC 100603
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 AM EST THU JAN 10 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

MID LEVEL CUTOFF LOW NEAR 25N57W NEARLY STATIONARY. MID LEVEL 
RIDGE EXTENDS FROM WRN CARIB NE TO 33N67W. NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH 
OVER S CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT WEAK 
TROUGH OVER ATLC ALONG 57W WITH ENOUGH GRADIENT OVER ATLC N OF 
25N E OF 60W FOR 20 TO 25 KT WINDS. STATIONARY FRONT OVER NW 
GULF WITH 10 TO 15 KT WINDS. CARIB WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.

LATER DAY 1 CUTOFF LOW DRIFTS E TO 25N55W. SHORTWAVE LIFTING NE 
TO MO VALLEY. ON THE SURFACE LATER DAY 1 LITTLE CHANGE TO WINDS 
OVER ATLC N OF TROUGH. NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES TO TX COAST WITH 
WINDS TO 20 KT MAINLY AHEAD OF FRONT. 

FOR DAY 2 CUTOFF LOW DRIFTS NW TO 26N58W. SHORTWAVE LIFTING NE 
TO NEW ENGLAND. MID LEVEL FLOW TIGHTENING S OF 40N W OF 70W BUT 
ZONAL. ON THE SURFACE DAY 2 COLD FRONT MOVES TO CENTRAL GULF BUT 
SUPPORT WEAK AND WINDS LIGHT. CARIB WINDS ALSO LIGHT. WEAK LOW 
FORMS OVER ATLC WHERE TROUGH WAS..THUS WINDS N OF 29N BETWEEN 
50W AND 65W ELY 20 KT.

OUTLOOK PERIOD...

FOR DAY 3 OLDCUTOFF LOW WEAKENS WHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER 
STRENGTHENS NEAR 34N45W. MID LEVEL FLOW TURNING MORE NWLY W OF 
90W AS NEXT SHORTWAVE DIVES SE TO SRN PLAINS. ON THE SURFACE DAY 
3 OLD FRONT OVER NE GULF THEN STATIONARY OVER N CENTRAL PORTION. 
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT. CARIB WINDS MODERATE ELY. WEAK LOW OVER ATLC 
NEAR 27N63W BUT WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT. ATLC WINDS E OF 45W INCREASE 
TO 20 KT.

FOR DAY 4 REMNANTS OF OLD CUTOFF DISSIPATE WHILE MID LEVEL RIDGE 
REMAINS NEAR 33N42W. SRN PLAINS SHORTWAVE MOVE E TO 88W BUT MID 
LEVEL FLOW OVER GULF REMAINS WLY. ON THE SURFACE DAY 4 NEW COLD 
FRONT MOVES SE OVER GULF WITH NLY WINDS OF 20 KT. CARIB WINDS 20 
KT OVER CENTRAL PORTION. ATLC WINDS E OF 50W 20 KT. 

FOR DAY 5 MID LEVEL RIDGE CENTER WEAKENS NEAR 32N40W WHILE NEW 
CENTER STRENGTHENS NEAR 19N75W. WESTERLIES TIGHTEN OVER SRN 
CONUS AS NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIVES S TO MO VALLEY. MID LEVEL 
FLOW OVER GULF MOSTLY WLY. ON THE SURFACE DAY 5 COLD FRONT OVER 
ERN GULF CONTINUES EWD TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS. WINDS WITH FRONT TO 
20 KT N OF 27N. GULF WINDS NELY 15 KT. CARIB WINDS DECREASE TO 
LIGHT TO MODERATE. LITTLE CHANGE TO ATLC WINDS.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
GALE WARNING...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER RRG