000
AGXX40 KNHC 061820
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
120 PM EST SUN JAN 6 2008
 
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

FAIRLY STRONG MID LEVEL ZONAL FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. WEAK 
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES ALONG 61W AND 80W. STATIONARY SFC FRONT HAS 
WEAKENED TO A FRONTAL TROUGH FROM 31N41W TO 19N62W. HIGH PRES RIDGE 
ALONG 34N MOVING SLOWLY EWD. PRES GRADIENT STILL PRODUCING BRISK ENE 
TRADE WINDS W OF FRONT...AS WELL AS CARIB AND ERN GULF. BUT THE 
TREND IS CLEARLY DOWNWARD BASED ON ANALYSIS OF QUIKSCAT DATA. THE 
AREA OF 20-25 KT WINDS HAS SHRUNK IN SIZE AND WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE 
REGION ARE STEADILY DIMINISHING. THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 
SEVERAL MORE DAYS. 

GULF OF MEXICO WINDS WILL REMAIN SE THROUGH TUE. A COLD FRONT PUSHES 
OFF THE TX COAST TUE THEN STALLS WED WITHOUT UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AS 
WINDS BECOME ZONAL ALOFT. AS A RESULT N WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT TUE 
AND TUE NIGHT WILL BE SHORT-LIVED. WINDS BECOME SLY AGAIN LATE WED 
AND THU. A SLIGHTLY STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL DROP INTO THE GULF THU 
NIGHT THEN EXTEND ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FRI. SW CARIBBEAN WINDS 
PERSIST AT 20-25 KT THROUGH TUE MORNING...BUT DROP TO 10-15 KT WED 
THROUGH FRI.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
GALE WARNING...

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL