000
AGXX40 KNHC 180629
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 AM EST TUE DEC 18 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE GULF COAST FIRMLY IN CONTROL TODAY WITH 
LIGHT NE WINDS OVER THE AREA EXCEPT FOR RETURN FLOW SETTING UP 
ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH LATE WED AS WINDS 
GRADUALLY VEER OVER ALL AREAS. ON THU...SW WINDS BEGIN TO 
INCREASE TO 20-25 KT OVER THE NRN GULF IN ADVANCE OF DEVELOPING 
LOW PRESS OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THIS LOW
WEAKENS AND TRACKS ESEWD ALONG THE GULF COAST TO NE FLORIDA BY 
EARLY FRI WITH WINDS SHIFTING BRIEFLY TO THE NW IN ITS WAKE. 
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THIS SCENARIO WITH THE 
EXCEPTION OF THE CMC WHICH OVER DEVELOPS THE LOW. BROAD AREA OF 
SLY RETURN FLOW ENSUES LATE FRI AND INCREASES SAT OVER THE GULF 
W OF 90W IN ADVANCE OF A STRONGER COLD FRONT SLATED TO MOVE OFF 
THE TEXAS COAST LATE SAT AND OVER MOST OF THE NW GULF ZONE BY 
SAT EVENING. STRONG NW WINDS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT THOUGH
NOT LIKELY TO REACH GALE FORCE AT THIS STAGE OF THE FCST.  
 
SW N ATLANTIC...
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO E-CENTRAL CUBA 
CONTINUES TO MAKE SLOW EWD PROGRESS ACROSS THE SW N ATLC ZONE. 
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 26N65W TO E-CENTRAL CUBA THIS EVENING
AND DISSIPATE ON WED. NE WINDS OF 20 KT S OF 27N SHOULD DIMINISH 
TO 10-15 KT WED AND THU AS HIGH PRESS SETTLES IN OVER THE AREA. 
LOW PRESS MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY FRI AND TRACKS N 
OF THE AREA INTO SAT WITH LITTLE IMPACT ON THE OVERALL WINDS AND 
SEAS. A STRONG COLD FRONT DIVING SEWD BUT WELL E OF THE AREA ON 
SAT USHERS IN MODERATE NE WINDS AND LARGE SWELL MAINLY E OF 
70W.   

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF STALLING FROM E CUBA 
TO N CENTRAL HONDURAS WITH N TO NE WINDS OF 15-20 KT W OF THE 
FRONT PER LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS AND BUOY DATA. THESE WINDS SHOULD 
DIMINISH DURING THE DAY...LEAVING FRESH TRADES MAINLY OVER THE E 
CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC INTO THU. TRADES WEAKEN OVER THE 
TROPICAL N ATLC FRI AND SAT WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE OVER THE W 
CARIBBEAN. 

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE. 

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER COBB