000 AGXX40 KNHC 280737 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM EST WED NOV 28 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA SW COAST TO 25N84W WHERE IT BECOMES STATIONARY TO THE SW BAY OF CAMPECHE...AND IS SLOWING DOWN AS IT PROGRESSES EASTWARD. A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM AROUND 0000 UTC LAST NIGHT REVEALED 15-20 KT NE WINDS ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONT IN THE MIDDLE AND EASTERN GULF. AN ALMOST SOLID SWATH OF 20 KT NE WINDS WERE NOTED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 23N. A FEW RAIN-FLAGGED VECTORS OF 30 KT WERE INDICATED OVER THE FAR SW PORTION OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. OVER THE NW SECTION OF THE GULF...WINDS HAVE VEERED TO E-SE 10-15 KT WITH SEAS NOW HAVING SUBSIDED TO 2-4 FT AS BEING REPORTED BY BUOY OBSERVATIONS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST THU MORNING...BUT THEN MODELS AGREE THAT HIGH PRES BUILDS SWD INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS LATER THU AND BECOMES RE-ENFORCED BY STRONGER HIGH PRES FRI AND SHIFTS EASTWARD SAT AND SUN IN RESPONSE TO A STRONGER COLD FRONT THAT APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST LATE SUN. IN ADVANCE OF THIS COLD FRONT WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT LATE SUN. SW N ATLC... THE GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT EXTENDS NE ACROSS S FLORIDA TO NEAR WEST PALM BEACH AND CONTINUES NE TO NEAR 31N73W. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT HAVE SHIFTED TO N 15-20 KT...AND WILL COME AROUND TO THE NE THIS MORNING. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND BECOME ORIENTED ALONG 31N LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...THEN LIFT N OF THE AREA THU MORNING. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IS ANALYZED AHEAD OF THE FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NW BAHAMAS TO W CUBA. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST THU. WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BECOME LIGHT N THU. THE FRONT WILL REACH TO ALONG 31N70W 27N80W FRI AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN FROM 30N65W T0 27N73W SAT AS STRONG HIGH PRES BEGINS TO BUILD SWD OVER JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE AREA. WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BECOME NE 15-20 KT LATE FRI AND SAT AND E 15-20 KT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA SUN... EXCEPT THE FAR W PART WHERE WINDS WILL BE SE-S 10-15 KT AS YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE SE UNITED STATES. A LARGE TROUGH WELL TO THE E OF THE AREA IS PROGRESSING WWD WITH TIME. THIS TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH THE HIGH PRES ACROSS THE FORECAST WATERS TO MAINTAIN AN ALREADY TIGHT PRES GRADIENT ALREADY PRESENT TO THE E OF THE BAHAMAS. QUIKSCAT DATA FROM LAST NIGHT ALONG WITH RECENT AND CURRENT SHIP OBSERVATIONS CONFIRMED NE-E WINDS OF 20-25 KT OVER THESE WATERS WITH RECENT SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOWING SEAS IN THE RANGE OF 6-8 FT. THESE SEA HEIGHTS ARE PRETTY CLOSE TO THOSE DEPICTED ON THE NOAA WAVE WATCH GUIDANCE. EXPECT THESE WINDS AND SEAS TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH SUN. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... TRADE WINDS NEAR THE COASTS OF COLOMBIA AND VENEZUELA HAVE DIMINISHED SLIGHTLY AND ARE NE 20-25 KT WITH SEAS THERE IN THE 9-13 FT RANGE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH SUN AS HIGH PRES OVER THE ATLC BREAKS DOWN JUST ENOUGH AS COLD FRONTS MOVE OFF THE SE UNITED STATES COAST. ELY TRADES ELSEWHERE WILL BE IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE THROUGH SUN...EXCEPT 15-20 KT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND THE NORTHERN PART OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC ZONE THROUGH EARLY THU ...AND AGAIN OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SAT AND SUN DUE TO STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING SWD OVER THE SW N ATLC ZONE. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER AGUIRRE