000
AGXX40 KNHC 221713
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1215 PM EST THU NOV 22 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
PRESENT COLD FRONT NW WATERS NOT AS CONVECTIVE AS PROGGED THUS 
TONED DOWN WORDING IN OFFSHORE FORECAST. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE 
TO EARLIER PACKAGE OTHER THAN TO DROP MENTION OF GUSTS TO GALE 
FORCE AS THESE GUSTS NOT EXPECTED TO BE FREQUENT. LOOKS LIKE 
PORTION OF FRONT THAT WILL TRAIL S FROM FRONTAL WAVE LOW MAY 
REMAIN STATIONARY OVER WATER ALONG 95-96W...AND ONLY MOVE E WHEN 
A COLD SURGE SWINGS SE AROUND LOW PRES SUN AND SUN NIGHT. 
GUIDANCE THEN REPEATS WITH NEXT FRONT STALLING ACROSS CENTRAL 
WATERS AND LOW PRES DEVELOPING SW GULF TUE AND THEN TRACKING N 
DRAGGING FRONTAL REMNANTS N AS WEAK WARM FRONT.  
 
ATLC WATERS...
1024 MB SURFACE HIGH HAS SHIFTED E AS FORECAST TO NEAR 29N72W 
AND IS STILL EXPECTED TO CONTINUE E ALLOWING COLD FRONT TO MOVE 
INTO NW WATERS TONIGHT. THE UPPER SUPPORT WILL LIFT NE AND FRONT 
WILL STALL ALONG ROUGHLY 27N SAT THEN MOVE N AS WARM FRONT IN 
ADVANCE OF NEXT FRONT ON GA COAST TUE. IN THE MEANTIME N SWELLS 
10-15 FT OVER WATERS BETWEEN 68W-55W STILL EXPECTED TO PROPAGATE 
INTO NE CARIBBEAN PASSAGES LATE TODAY AND TO THE COAST OF S 
AMERICA SAT. NE TO E TRADES IN SOUTHERN BAHAMAS WEAKEN TONIGHT. 
 
CARIBBEAN...
NE TO E TRADES WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK OVER CENTRAL 
AND W WATERS AND EXPAND E OVER THE E CARIBBEAN MON. MODEL RUNS  
FLUCTUATING BETWEEN 25 AND 30 KT ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA. N 
SWELLS 7-10 FT WILL ARRIVE IN NE ATLC PASSAGES THIS AFTERNOON. 

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.   

CARIBBEAN...
NONE. 

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON