000 AGXX40 KNHC 220716 CCA MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 215 AM EST THU NOV 22 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... COLD FRONT IS STARTING TO EMERGE OFF THE TEXAS COAST THIS MORNING...WITH AN ACCOMPANYING SQUALL LINE MOVING INTO THE WATERS OF THE NW GULF. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS WILL ENVELOPE SOME OF THE AREA OF THE NW GULF AND OFF THE NE MEXICO COAST TOWARD THE BAY OF CAMPECHE INTO FRI...BEFORE DIMINISHING THROUGH LATE FRI. THE UPPER SUPPORT FOR THE FRONT LIFTS OUT AND MID/UPPER FLOW BECOMES ZONAL BY TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE FRONT WILL STALL GENERALLY FROM SW FLORIDA THROUGH THE MID GULF AND INTO CENTRAL MEXICO. LOW PRES DEEPENS ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER THE WESTERN GULF BY SAT. THIS WILL BRING A NEW ROUND OF STRONG NLY WINDS TO THE FAR WESTERN GULF LATE SAT INTO SUN. AT THE SAME TIME...HIGH PRES OVER THE WESTERN ATLC WILL PROMOTE A SURGE OF ELY FLOW THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND INTO THE SE GULF. THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK NE INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY LATE SUN. THIS WILL TIGHTEN THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LOW AND THE HIGH TO THE E...ALLOWING FOR FRESH TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW FROM LOUISIANA THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO MON. ATLC WATERS... 1023 MB SURFACE HIGH PRES IS CENTERED N OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 29N75W. SCATTEROMETER AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH TO STRONG NW TO N FLOW BETWEEN THE HIGH PRES CELL AND LOW PRES WELL TO THE NE. IN ADDITION...LARGE SWELL WITH PERIODS TO 12 SECONDS ARE PROPAGATING SOUTH...MAINLY AROUND BERMUDA AND TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA...AND SHOULD REACH HISPANIOLA...PUERTO RICO...AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY. MEANWHILE SCATTEROMETER AND SHIP/BUOY DATA ALSO SHOW FRESH TRADES SOUTH OF THE HIGH CENTER THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS...BECOMING SELY NEAR S FLORIDA AND THE KEYS. SWLY FLOW WILL INCREASE OFF NE FLORIDA STARTING TODAY...AHEAD OF A FRONT THAT WILL PUSH OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST EARLY FRI MORNING. AS IN THE GULF...THE UPPER SUPPORT WILL LIFT OUT AND THE FRONT WILL STALL GENERALLY ALONG 28N BY SAT...PUSHING THE HIGH CENTER FURTHER SOUTH. INCREASING N TO NE WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VEERING E AND DIMINISHING THROUGH SAT. ELY TRADES WILL INCREASE SAT T0 MON THROUGH THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS AND TURKS/CAICOS...AS WELL AS OVER ATLC WATERS E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. SLY FLOW WILL AGAIN INCREASE OFF NE FLORIDA MON IN RESPONSE TO TIGHTENING GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE MID ATLC AND A LOW CENTER MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST U.S. CARIBBEAN... FRESH TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG ELY TRADES WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN DUE TO HIGH PRES BUILDING TO THE N. N SWELLS 7-10 FT ARRIVE IN WATERS OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY LATE TODAY. IN ADDITION...N SWELLS 8 TO 9 FT WILL ENTER THE NE CARIBBEAN FRI VIA PASSAGES THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. ELY TRADES WILL ALSO INCREASE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN STARTING TONIGHT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS TO THE NORTH. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN