000 AGXX40 KNHC 290607 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... TIGHT GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER CENTRAL PLAINS AND FRONTAL TROUGH OVER YUCATAN PENINSULA PUSHING WIND TO GALE FORCE S OF 25N W OF 90W. GALE WARNING IN EFFECT SHRINKING AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AND ENDING LATE TUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND EXPECTED AT 40 KT. STRONG NE WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ALSO DIMINISH WED E OF 85W...BUT REGAIN STRENGTH THU AND FRI AS TROPICAL STORM NOEL CROSSES CUBA INTO BAHAMA BANK AND IS ABSORBED BY FRONTAL TROUGH THAT MOVES E OF AREA TO BAHAMAS. SW N ATLC... STATIONARY FRONTAL TROUGH FROM FLORIDA TO YUCATAN CHANNEL EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING E TODAY AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS EARLY WED...THEN STALL AGAIN W OF 65W ALONG 25N THU. VERY TIGHT GRADIENT N OF TROUGH PROMPT GLOBAL MODELS TO REACH GALE FORCE TODAY AND TUE WITH SEAS TO NEAR 18 FT. EARLY TUE TROPICAL STORM NOEL EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER ERN TIP OF CUBA INTO THE BAHAMA BANKS EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH FRONTAL TROUGH AND LIFTING NE ACROSS CENTRAL BAHAMAS FRI AND SAT. LARGE LONG PERIOD SWELLS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FL E COAST ALL WEEK. STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH NOEL SHOULD START AFFECTING SW N ATLC WATERS OF SE BAHAMAS TODAY SPREADING NW AND INCREASING TO REACH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... AMZ080...GALE WARNING N OF 25N W OF 75W. AMZ080...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 21N W OF 73W. AMZ080...TROPICAL STORM WARNING S OF 27N W OF 72W EXPECTED THU AND FRI. CARIBBEAN... AMZ082-AMZ086...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 17N FROM 70W-75W. GULF OF MEXICO... GMZ082...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TUE. FORECASTER WALLY BARNES