000
AGXX40 KNHC 131705
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SAT OCT 13 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WINDS INCREASING ACROSS THE SE GULF OF MEXICO WITH HIGH PRES 
OVER THE NE U.S. AND PERSISTENT LOW IN THE NW CARIBBEAN OFF THE 
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA HAVE TIGHTENED THE GRADIENT 
ACROSS THE AREA. THE GFS IS NOW MORE IN LINE WITH THE OTHER 
MODELS IN KEEPING THE WEAK LOW IN THE SW GULF AS APPOSED TO 
YESTERDAY WHEN IT MOVED IT NE INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE
THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN NIGHT 
AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MON THROUGH WED THEN DISSIPATE THU. 
AS THE LOW MOVES WWD THE STRONGER WINDS ALSO SPREAD W BY SUN 
NIGHT THEN DECREASE ON TUE AS THE LOW WEAKENS. WEAK RIDGE ACROSS 
THE NORTHERN GULF THU.

STATIONARY FRONT IN THE ATLC FROM 29N65W TO 25N78W. A SURFACE  
LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG FRONT NEAR 26N70W SUN THEN MOVE 
NE THEN MOVE TO 28N67W MON THE WEAKEN NEAR 28N66W TUE AND 
DISSIPATE WED. AS HIGH PRESS BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN U.S. NE 
WINDS INCREASE TONIGHT THROUGH MON OVER AREAS N OF THE FRONT. 
WINDS BECOME SE WED AND THU AS THE HIGH MOVE E INTO THE ATLC.

BROAD LOW PRESS IN THE NW CARIBBEAN OFF THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN 
PENINSULA ONCE AGAIN IS DISRUPTING THE TRADE WIND FLOW OVER MOST 
OF THE CARIBBEAN W OF 73W WITH SLY WINDS NOTED OVER MOST AREAS W 
OF 78W. NEAR NORMAL TRADES ARE EVIDENT ACROSS THE TROPICAL N 
ATLC AND E CARIBBEAN E OF A TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 73W. BROAD 
LOW WILL MOVE WWD OVER YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN NIGHT AND WELL W OF 
THE AREA BY MON AND ALLOW ELY WINDS OF 15-20 KT BEHIND THE 
TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE WWD INTO THE ENTIRE BASIN BY MON.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS