000
AGXX40 KNHC 111645
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1245 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
UPPER TROUGH OVER GULF OF MEXICO THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE 
NORTHWEST HALF OF THE ATLC AREA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND RETRACT 
NORTHWARD WITH A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE 
TROUGH. BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY BROAD RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE AREA.

SURFACE...
TROUGH RUNS APPROXIMATELY FROM BERMUDA TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS.  
A LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP LATER TODAY IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND 
MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE TROUGH AND WILL PRODUCE WINDS OF 20 TO 30 
KT MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE.  THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO PASS 
NORTH OF 31N FRIDAY.  OCCASIONAL 20 KT WINDS ARE THEN FORECAST NEAR 
THE TROUGH THROUGH SUNDAY. THE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN ALONG WITH THE 
UPPER TROUGH WITH A RIDGE BUILDING WEST TO EAST JUST NORTH OF THE 
AREA BEGINNING SUNDAY AND WILL BE ESTABLISHED NEAR 34N MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY.

TRADES ARE LESS THAN NORMAL IN THE CARIBBEAN THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD 
AND NEAR TO SLIGHTLY LESS THAN NORMAL IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER LL