000
AGXX40 KNHC 080556
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON OCT 8 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

A DEEP LAYERED TROUGH EXTENDS NE TO SW ROUGHLY FROM 31N55W TO 
CENTRAL AMERICA. A FEW LOW LEVEL CYCLONES ARE ANALYZED ALONG 
THE TROUGH. ONE NEAR 26N54W 1011 MB...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE 
TODAY. BROAD LOW PRES OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND MEXICAN YUCATAN 
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH THE 
POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE 
IN PATTERN THROUGH TUE AS A SERIES OF RE-INFORCING SHORT WAVES 
MOVE S INTO THE N PART OF THE ATLC AREA. AN UPPER RIDGE 
CURRENTLY ALONG THE ATLC SEABOARD OF CONUS WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE 
E TO ALONG 70W TUE NIGHT ALLOWING A STRONG SHORT WAVE TO MOVE 
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS LATE WED NIGHT. THE SHORT 
WAVE WILL MOVE E TO STALL N TO S ALONG 80W THU NIGHT THROUGH 
SAT. 

AN ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO N-CENTRAL 
GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL PLAINS TUE NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER 
SURGE THU TURNING LOW LEVEL WINDS NLY OVER WATERS N OF 
28N...WITH CONDITIONS SPREADING S OVER MOST OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA N OF 24N THU NIGHT. BY SAT...A STRONGER SHORT WAVE PUSHES
OFF E COAST CONUS REACHING FROM BERMUDA TO CENTRAL CUBA LATE IN 
THE WEEKEND.      
 
TROPICAL WAVES ALONG 56W AND 38W HAVE ONLY MOVED W ABOUT 8 KT 
PAST 24 HOURS. EXPECT LIGHT ELY TRADES TO STRENGTHEN TO 20 KT 
RANGE OVER WATERS E OF 65W WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT. LIGHT SLY 
WINDS W CARIBBEAN IN RESPONSE TO BROAD LOW PRES OVER YUCATAN 
PENINSULA.    

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON