000
AGXX40 KNHC 290442
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EDT SAT SEP 29 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN GULF THIS MORNING WITH
INCREASING NELY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT...MAINLY OVER THE NE 
QUADRANT OF THE GULF. THE FRONT WILL PUSH AS FAR AS THE STRAITS 
OF FLORIDA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH 20-25 KT NELY WINDS 
SPREADING ACROSS MAINLY THE EASTERN HALF OF THE GULF BEHIND THE 
FRONT THROUGH TUE THEN DECREASING WED.

ATLC TROUGH FROM 31N74W TO CENTRAL CUBA WILL MOVE SLIGHTLY 
EWD...BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY A COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE 
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST LATER THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL STALL 
FROM 31N67W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY LATE SAT INTO SUN. 
EXPECT STRONG NELY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BY THIS EVENING 
REACHING THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS BY LATE SUN THROUGH TUE THEN
DECREASE ON WED.

CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W/83W WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR 
WESTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY AND TONIGHT AND W OF THE AREA ON LATE 
SUN. WEAKENING TROPICAL STORM KAREN IS CENTERED E OF THE AREA 
NEAR 16N52W...AND IS FORECAST TO BE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY 
THIS EVENING. KAREN IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE NE OF THE LEEWARD 
ISLANDS...JUST CLIPPING THE NE CORNER OF TROPICAL ATLC FORECAST 
ZONE FROM LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE WINDS WILL 
INCREASE NE OF THE LEEWARDS...THE MOVEMENT OF THE DEPRESSION 
WILL WEAKEN THE ATLC RIDGE ENOUGH TO ALLOW ELY WINDS OVER THE 
CARIBBEAN TO RELAX SLIGHTLY STARTING SUN...LIMITING THE HIGHER 
WINDS TO NEAR THE VENEZUELAN AND COLOMBIAN COASTS. 

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS