000
AGXX40 KNHC 280511
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EDT FRI SEP 28 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HURRICANE LORENZO OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 20.5N 96.5W
AT 03Z WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUST TO 85W WILL MAKE 
LANDFALL SOMETIME TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE THROUGH
THE DAY AS THE HURRICANE MOVES INLAND AND WEAKENS. OTHERWISE 
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS ACROSS THE GULF. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST 
TO ENTER NRN GULF THIS MORNING THEN FRONT STALL OVER THE WRN 
GULF...BUT SAGGING AS FAR S AS CENTRAL FLORIDA IN THE ERN GULF. 
ELY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE NRN GULF SAT NIGHT THROUGH
TUE.

ATLC LOW PRES 1011 MB CENTERED NEAR 29N77W ALONG A TROUGH THAT 
EXTENDS FROM 31N77W TO S FLORIDA. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE
N OF THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE
SE U.S. COAST EARLY SAT AND EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO NORTHERN
BAHAMAS AND FROM 31N67W TO S FLORIDA SUN THE MOVE W TO 31N76W
TO STRAITS OF FLORIDA TUE.

TROPICAL STORM KAREN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE FAR NE PORTION
OF THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE LATE SAT THROUGH MON. SO WILL CONTINUE
WITH HEADLINE OF TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH
THAT TIME FRAME. OTHERWISE CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 74W 
MOVING W AT 10 TO 15 KT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

WARNINGS...
SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY.

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
HURRICANE WARNING SW GULF...GMZ082...FROM 19N-22N W OF 95W.

FORECASTER DGS