000
AGXX40 KNHC 270446
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

T.D. 13 IN THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 21.2N 94.8W 1007 MB 
DRIFTING W. LATEST NHC ADVISORY CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN THE TD 
TO A TROPICAL STORM BY THIS MORNING THEN DRIFT W...AND IS 
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 50 KT BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL IN MEXICO 
FRI EVENING. SO WILL CONTINUE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS THROUGH 
FRI NIGHT. OTHERWISE...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE 
NORTHERN GULF TONIGHT REACHING ALONG 26N FRI...AND DISSIPATING 
ALONG 24N SAT NIGHT. LOW PRES IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA NEAR 
WILL MOVE NE OF THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING.

SURFACE TROUGH IN THE WESTERN ATLC FROM 31N79W TO 1013 MB LOW 
PRES IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NE 
ALONG THE TROUGH TO NEAR 30N78W LATER THIS MORNING THEN N OF THE 
AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NW 
CORNER OF THE AREA FRI AND MERGE WITH ANY REMNANTS OF BOTH LOW 
LEVEL TROUGH. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO NW BAHAMAS 
LATE SAT AND DIFFUSE SUN.

T.S. KAREN E OF AREA...HOWEVER LATEST ADVISORY BRINGS TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS INTO THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ATLC 
ZONE BY LATE SAT. CURRENT FORECAST TRACK BRINGS KAREN INTO THE 
AREA NEAR 21N58W LATE SUN THEN JUST N OF THE AREA MON. SO WILL 
CONTINUE TO HEADLINE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED SAT 
THROUGH MON. OTHERWISE TRADES REMAIN IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE IN 
THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
TROPICAL STORM WARNING SW GULF...GMZ082...FROM 19N-22N W OF 94W.

FORECASTER DGS