000
AGXX40 KNHC 260458
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EDT WED SEP 26 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN IS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N
95.4W DRIFTING W AT 4 KT. CONVECTION ASSOCIATE WITH THE SYSTEM
HAS PRETTY MUCH DISSIPATED BUT THE LATEST ADVISORY BRINGS THE
T.D. TO A TROPICAL STORM BY EARLY THU THEN MOVES THE STORM SW
INTO THE COAST OF MEXICO FRI NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH HEADLINE
OF TROPICAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THU. OTHERWISE MOSTLY LIGHT
WINDS ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH SAT THEN INCREASE OVER THE NE
GULF AS HIGH PRES STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE SE UNITED STATES.

TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER S FLORIDA...WITH BOTH THE GFS AND NOGAPS
DEVELOPING A LOW OFF THE E COAST OF FLORIDA AND MOVING IT TO
THE NE. A WEAK COLD FRONT TO MOVE OFF GA COAST THU AND EXTENDING
FROM 31N75W 27N80W FRI AND FROM 31N69W TO 27N80W SAT. AS HIGH
PRES BUILDS N OF THE FRONT NE WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KT SAT AND
SUN.

THE TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED ALONG 64W WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW
ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 17N64W. THE LOW WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. T.S. 
KAREN E OF AREA...CURRENT TRACK FORECAST IS FOR A 55 KT TROPICAL 
STORM TO PASS JUST E OF EXTREME NE CORNER OF AMZ087 SAT 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT RADIUS OF TS WINDS MAY BRUSH THE FAR 
NE CORNER OF THE ZONE. SUBSEQUENT TRACK FORECASTS LIKELY TO 
FLUCTUATE AND OFFSHORE TEXT WORDING WILL CHANGE A LITTLE.       

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS