000
AGXX40 KNHC 211705
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN IS CURRENTLY OFF THE COAST OF THE 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM THIS EVENING THEN MOVE TO JUST S OF MOBILE
ALABAMA EARLY SAT AND MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI SAT EVENING. TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR THE FAR N PORTION OF THE MIDDLE GULF ZONE FOR
TONIGHT AND SAT. WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE SAT NIGHT AS THE
STORM MOVES INLAND. GFS AND NOGAPS DEVELOP A LOW OVER THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA SAT AND MOVE IT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN NW TOWARD TEXAS.

WEAK TROUGH IN THE ATLC FROM 29N66W TO 22N68W WILL DRIFT W
THEN DISSIPATE SAT..WITH A HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDING ALONG
30N/31N. WINDS WILL REMAIN 15 KT OR LESS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

TROUGH IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN FROM 18N82W TO 12N78W IS MOVING 
W. AS MENTIONED ABOVE THE NOGAPS AND GFS DEVELOP A LOW NEAR THE 
YUCATAN PENINSULA SAT...THIS RESULTS IN A BRIEF INCREASE IN SE 
WINDS OVER THE FAR NW CARIBBEAN SAT INTO EARLY SUN. ALSO LOTS OF 
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH. TRADES WILL 
CONTINUE IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE THROUGH WED.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS