000
AGXX40 KNHC 190554
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
155 AM EDT WED SEP 19 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER OVER WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST REACHING 90W FRIDAY NIGHT THEN WEAK 
AND MOVE NORTHWEST TO OVER EASTERN TEXAS SUNDAY.

UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE ATLANTIC 
AREA WITH MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION EAST OF 65W.  THIS 
SYSTEM SHOULD PERSIST AS THE TROUGH WILL BE REINFORCED BY 
SHORTWAVES MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE MIDDLE LATITUDES.

OTHERWISE RIDGE OVER THE AREA.

SURFACE...
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE ATLANTIC MOSTLY EAST OF 65W ASSOCIATED 
WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY.  CONVECTION 
ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN EAST OF THE ATLANTIC 
OFFSHORE AREA.
 
SURFACE LOW OVER OR SLIGHTLY EAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA WILL ALSO 
TRACK THE UPPER SYSTEM AND MOVE WEST TO NORTHWEST REACHING 90W 
NEAR THE U.S. COAST SATURDAY THEN INLAND OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA 
THEN EAST TEXAS SUNDAY.  GFS DOES NOT DEVELOP THE LOW BUT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS A POSSIBILITY.

THE OTHER AREA OF SIGNIFICANT WINDS IS THE USUAL WINDS IN THE 
SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHICH WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY LESS THAN 
NORMAL.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
NONE.

FORECASTER LL