000 AGXX40 KNHC 020528 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EDT SUN SEP 2 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. BUBBLE OF HIGH PRES AT MID LEVELS TONIGHT DRIFTING W TO 25N72W. MID LEVEL RIDGING BETWEEN 20N AND 30N ACROSS ATLC. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT A WEAK TRPL WAVE WAS OVER THE WRN CARIB ALONG 82W MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS BUT NO ORGANIZATION. ALL EYES ON HRCN FELIX SLIPPING WWD JUST N OF THE S AMERICAN COAST SKIMMING THE ABC ISLANDS. NEXT TRPL WAVE ALONG 39W WITH A 1010 MB LOW CENTER MOVING W 15 KT. LATER DAY 1 MID LEVEL HIGH PRES MERGES WITH A SECOND HIGH CENTER OVER THE GREAT PLAINS. ON THE SURFACE LATER DAY 1 THE ATLC RIDGE ALONG 26N WWD INTO THE GULF. WINDS N OF 20N LIGHT AS WELL AS TRADES S OF 20N OVER THE ATLC. ALL ACTION IN CARIB WITH HRCN FELIX. FOR DAY 2 MID LEVEL HIGH PRES DRIFTS W AND COVERS BAHAMAS WWD OVER GULF. RIDGE EXTENDS EWD ALONG 23N TO AFRICA. WESTERLIES TRYING TO PENETRATE RIDGE BETWEEN 50W AND 60W WITH LITTLE SUCCESS. ON THE SURFACE DAY 2 LITTLE CHANGE TO ATLC RIDGE. HRCN FELIX MOVING INTO WRN CARIB. GFS MODEL SHOWS NO DEVELOPMENT WITH NEXT TRPL WAVE. OUTLOOK PERIOD... FOR DAY 3 MID LEVEL RIDGE SHOWS SIGNS OF WEAKENING BETWEEN 50W AND 80W AS WESTERLIES SEND SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES SE. ALSO LARGE UPPER TROUGH DIVING SE OFF CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL HELP ALSO. ON THE SURFACE DAY 3 GFS MODEL SHOWS WEAK LOW THAT WAS OVER N FL THE PAST FEW DAYS MOVING ENE TO 31N76W. ATLC RIDGE ALONG 26N FROM BAHAMAS TO MID ATLC. HRCN FELIX MOVING WWD TOWARD BELIZE. FOR DAY 4 MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER SE CONUS SHIFTING E TO 85W AS TROUGHING DEVELOPS OVER SRN PLAINS. MID LEVEL RIDGE HOLDS FIRM OVER ATLC ALONG 25N. ON THE SURFACE DAY 4 HRCN FELIX MOVES INLAND OVER SRN YUCATAN. ATLC RIDGE WITH 1021 MB CENTER NEAR 29N41W RIDGES WSW TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS. GULF QUIET AS WELL AS ATLC TRADES. CARIB WINDS MOSTLY 10 TO 15 KT. FOR DAY 5 EVEN WITH PRESENCE OF STRONG UPPER TROUGH ALONG 55W N OF AREA..WESTERLIES STILL HAVING TROUBLE PENETRATING S OF 30N OVER ATLC. MID LEVEL RIDGE HOLDS FIRM OVER SE CONUS. TROUGHING OVER SRN PLAINS BEGINS LIFTING NE AS WESTERLIES STRENGTHEN OVER NRN CONUS. ON THE SURFACE DAY 5 ATLC RIDGE REMAINS WEAK ALONG 26N BUT ENOUGH OF A PRESENCE TO MAINTAIN ELY TRADES S OF 20N. MODEL SHOWS TRPL WAVE ALONG 50W AND TROUGHING OVER NW BAHAMAS. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... AMZ086...HURRICANE WARNING 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 65W AND 73W. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER RRG