000
AGXX40 KNHC 291707
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 AM EDT WED AUG 29 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HIGH PRES RIDGE REMAINS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO 
MAINTAINING A LIGHT E-SE FLOW ACROSS ENTIRE GULF. THE RIDGE 
DRIFTS SWD TO ALONG 27N THU AND TO 25N/26N FRI THROUGH SUN. A 
WEAK FRONT MOVES SWD TO ALONG THE GULF COAST FRI NIGHT/SAT AND 
STALLS. HOWEVER A WEAK PRESS GRADIENT THROUGH THE ENTIRE 
FORECAST PERIOD KEEPS WINDS LIGHT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE 
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 22N LATER TONIGHT AND THU WHEN NRN 
EXTENT OF A TRPCL WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 
ALONG 89W MOVES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND ELY WINDS PICK
UP TO 15-20 KT ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN TSTM ACTIVITY. 
  
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESS...1016 MB...CURRENTLY IN THE NW ATLC 
NEAR 31N75W. THE LOW HAS DETACHED FROM THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. 
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED E OF THE CENTER AND COULD DEVELOP INTO 
A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REFER TO 
MIATWOAT/ABNT20 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. FOR NOW WILL GO 
WITH THE PREMISE THE SYSTEM REMAINS A LOW CENTER AND INCREASE 
THE WINDS TO 15 TO 20 KT BY THU. THE LOW WILL DRIFT TO NEAR 
29N76W THU NEAR 27N77W FRI/SAT BEFORE MOVING NE SUN AND MON.

TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN ARE LIGHTER THEN NORMAL AS THE ATLC 
RIDGE HAS WEAKENED. TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 45W WITH 1010 
MB LOW NEAR 11N SHOULD ENTER THE TRPCL N ATLC LATE THU AND ERN 
CARIBBEAN LATE FRI THROUGH MON. CONDITIONS ARE FCST TO BECOME 
MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE WAVE TRACKS WWD AND AS 
SUCH THE FEATURE IS BEING MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL 
DEVELOPMENT. REFER TO MIATWOAT/ABNT20 KNHC FOR ADDITIONAL 
DETAILS. 

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS