000
AGXX40 KNHC 190545
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 AM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COMBINED WITH 
HURRICANE DEAN IN THE CARIBBEAN HAS ALREADY INCREASED THE WINDS 
IN THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WITH BUOYS INDICATING ELY WINDS AT 
20 KT. THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS DEAN APPROACHES 
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA BY EARLY TUE. THE LATEST FCST TRACK TAKES 
DEAN INTO THE SRN GULF TUE THEN TO THE W GULF ON WED WITH A 
LANDFALL IN NE MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD 
INTO THE SRN PART OF THE MIDDLE GULF LATE MON. BASED ON THE FCST 
TRACK WILL ONLY KEEP HURRICANE CONDITION HEADLINES FOR PORTIONS 
OF THE SW...NW AND CENTRAL GULF ZONES AND EXCLUDE THE E GULF 
ZONE. WINDS AND SEAS DECREASE THU AS DEAN MOVES FURTHER INLAND. 

AS HURRICANE DEAN MOVES THROUGH THE CARIBBEAN WINDS HAVE 
INCREASED OVER THE SRN PORTION OF THE ATLC ZONE WITH SEVERAL 
SHIP REPORTS INDICATING WINDS 20-25 KT AND SEAS 8-12 FT S OF 
AROUND 25N. THE LATEST ADVISORY KEEPS THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS S OF THE AREA HOWEVER WINDS COULD INCREASE TO 30 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE FROM E TO W AS DEAN MOVES W TOWARD 
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GULF OF MEXICO. A HIGH AMPLITUDE 
TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHES THE E PORTION OF THE AREA WITH NE WINDS 
INCREASING TO 20-25 KT. THE WAVE MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS 
WED AND THE W BAHAMAS THU WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS BEING ON THE 
W SIDE OF THE WAVE.

HURRICANE DEAN CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE E CARIBBEAN AND IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN ZONE LATER TODAY. SO WILL
LIKELY HEADLINE HURRICANE WARNINGS IN THE E CARIBBEAN AND NW
CARIBBEAN ZONES. FCST TRACK MOVES DEAN INTO NW CARIBBEAN JUST S 
OF JAMAICA TONIGHT THEN TOWARDS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TUE. 
AS DEAN MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO LATE TUE AND WED WINDS AND 
SEAS DECREASE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN ZONE. LARGE AMPLITUDE TRPCL 
WAVE OVER THE ATLC MOVES INTO E CARIB TUE AND WED WITH MORE OF 
AN IMPACT N OF THE AREA. THUS TRADES SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT TUE 
THROUGH THU. 





WARNINGS...
SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY.

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
HURRICANE WARNING N OF 15N BETWEEN 71W-78W...AMZ086 AND AMZ082.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS