000
AGXX40 KNHC 170509
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EDT FRI AUG 17 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WITH THE REMNANTS OF FORMER T.S. ERIN INLAND OVER S TEXAS COMBINED 
WITH A RIDGE ACROSS THE NE GULF WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH GRADIENT FOR
15-20 KT WINDS IN THE WESTERN GULF EARLY TODAY THEN DECREASE BY SAT.
WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THEN INCREASE
OVER THE SE GULF MON AS HURRICANE DEAN MOVES THROUGH THE NW 
CARIBBEAN APPROACHING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY 
BRINGS DEAN INTO THE SW GULF BY TUE...WILL HEADLINE HURRICANE 
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE 0900 UTC ADVISORY.

RIDGE CURRENTLY ACROSS THE ATLC WITH MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS. HOWEVER
WINDS START TO INCREASE OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE AREA AS HURRICANE 
DEAN CONTINUES TO MOVE E INTO THE CARIBBEAN LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT...AND TO 30 KT NEAR THE 
GREATER ANTILLES...S OF 26N SPREADING FROM E TO W FRI THROUGH MON. A 
TROPICAL WAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA MON NIGHT WITH WINDS ONCE AGAIN ON 
THE INCREASE.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN IS EXPECTED TO CROSS OVER THE CENTRAL 
WINDWARD ISLAND TODAY AND INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. MAX WINDS FROM 
THE LATEST NHC ADVISORY ARE 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT BUT FORECAST
TO INCREASE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN. DEAN IS FORECAST TO 
MOVE S OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT THEN BRUSH SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA SAT AND 
SAT NIGHT AND COME VERY CLOSE TO JAMAICA SUN THEN TOWARDS THE 
YUCATAN PENINSULA LATE MON NIGHT. 

WARNINGS...
SUBJECT TO CHANGE BASED ON LATEST NHC ADVISORY

ATLANTIC...
HURRICANE WARNING FROM 12N TO 17N...AMZ087.

CARIBBEAN...
HURRICANE WARNING N OF 13N E OF 70W...AMZ086.

GULF OF MEXICO... 
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS