000 AGXX40 KNHC 261729 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO HAS INCREASED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IN THE NW GULF. ALTHOUGH THE CONVECTION APPEARS ORGANIZED...A SFC LOW IS NOT APPARENT FROM OBSERVATIONS. A HIGH PRES RIDGE ACROSS THE NE GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT THEN SHIFT S SUN AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST. WINDS IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL DIMINISH FRI THROUGH SUN AS THE RIDGE WEAKENS IN THE EASTERN GULF. ATLC RIDGE PERSISTS ALONG 30N/31N. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT N OF 23N THROUGH THE WEEKEND. S OF 23N MODERATE TRADES WILL CONTINUE. RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS S SUN AND MON AS A WEAK FRONT STALLS NEAR THE SE U.S. COAST...INCREASING SWLY WINDS OVER THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA MON. FRESH TO STRONG TRADE WINDS IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT AS H PRES RIDGE CONTINUES N OF THE AREA. 25 KT WINDS WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. TRADE WINDS DECREASE A LITTLE ON SUN. SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE SEAS ARE ALREADY 12-13 FT. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED...BUT SEA HEIGHTS WILL STEADILY BUILD W OF 80W AS FRESH SWELLS PROPAGATE OUT OF ITS SOURCE REGION NEAR COLOMBIA. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER MUNDELL