000
AGXX40 KNHC 190549
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 AM EDT TUE JUN 19 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
RIDGE DISSECTS GULF FROM FL BIG BEND TO NE MEXICO. ELY RETURN 
FLOW AT 15-20 KT OVER S CENTRAL AND NW WATERS ATTM BUT EXPECTED 
TO DIMINISH TO LATE TONIGHT. WINDS TURN NLY OVER THE NE PORTION 
IN RESPONSE TO A LOW PRES DEVELOPING OFF GA COAST WED NIGHT AND  
DRAGGING A TROUGH THROUGH E GULF WATERS. THE TROUGH MAY STALL 
AND WASH OUT OVER THE SE WATERS FRI NIGHT AND SAT DEPENDING ON 
TRACK OF LOW OVER W ATLC. WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO REMAIN 
LIGHT OVER THE GULF WED THROUGH SAT. SHOWERS AND TSTMS EXPECTED 
ALONG TROUGH. 
 
SW N ATLC...
A WEAK TROUGH FROM 31N59W TO 26N70W EXPECTED TO MOVE SE TO ALONG 
26N E OF 65W LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE E OF AREA WED NIGHT. HIGH 
PRES WILL BUILD N OF TROUGH WITH SLY RETURN FLOW INCREASING TO 
15-20 KT OVER NW WATERS LATE TONIGHT. THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS E WED 
AND THU WITH SLY WINDS FURTHER INCREASING TO 20-25 KT OVER FAR 
NW AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS OFF GA COAST. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO 
MOVE SLOWLY E THU AND FRI ALONG 31N...THEN NE SAT WHILE DRAGGING 
A TROUGH THROUGH THE NW BAHAMAS WITH N 10-15 KT OVER WATERS W OF 
TROUGH AND SW 15-20 KT E OF TROUGH.

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
BRISK ELY TRADES CONTINUE OVER CARIBBEAN S OF 18N. A TROPICAL 
WAVE ALONG 57W HAS ONLY A SLIGHT NE-E 15 KT WIND SHIFT...AND IS 
EXPECTED TO MOVE W 15 KT THROUGH CARIBBEAN THROUGH PERIOD. 
LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED IN TRADES EXCEPT THEY DIMINISH OVER SW 
WATERS AFTER THU.
 
WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...NONE.

CARIBBEAN...NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON