000
AGXX40 KNHC 141701
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT THU JUN 14 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
STRONG DEEP LAYER CUTOFF LOW NORTH OF THE ATLANTIC AREA THROUGH 
SATURDAY. CIRCULATION WILL BECOME A TROUGH LATE SATURDAY THEN 
MOVE EAST AND BE EAST OF 60W LATE MONDAY.  ANOTHER TROUGH IS 
OVER EAST TEXAS AND WILL NOT MOVE OVER THE AREA UNTIL MONDAY AND 
TUESDAY WITH A BROAD WEAK TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTH 
OF 25N. REMAINDER OF THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.

SURFACE...
TRADES ARE NEAR NORMAL AND ARE SOUTH OF ABOUT 18N EAST OF 75W. 
THEY WILL STRENGTHEN EAST OF 80W IN THE CARIBBEAN WITH NEAR 30 
KT NEAR THE SOUTH AMERICAN COAST FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WINDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ARE MOSTLY 10 KNOTS OR LESS 
THROUGH SUNDAY THEN INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY AS SURFACE 
RIDGE BUILDS WEST FROM THE ATLANTIC OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  
WEAK FRONTAL TROUGH MOVES TO THE TEXAS COAST EARLY TUESDAY WITH 
DECREASING WINDS OVER THE GULF TUESDAY.

ATLANTIC WINDS WEST OF 75W ARE VARIABLE AND ASSOCIATED WITH 
SURFACE TROUGH IN THIS AREA. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT BUT  
CONVECTION IN THE AREA WILL CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS. SOME 
MODEL RESULTS HAVE INDICATED A LOW DEVELOPING AND IF IT DOES 
MORE ORGANIZED HIGHER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.  ATLANTIC WINDS EAST 
OF 75W ARE DUE TO THE FLOW AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF LARGE 
ATLANTIC RIDGE EAST OF THE AREA. RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD 
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...NONE.

CARIBBEAN...NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER LL