000
AGXX40 KNHC 050618
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
220 AM EDT TUE JUN 5 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
E-W ORIENTED RIDGE AXIS OVER THE GULF ALONG 26N WITH LIGHT 
WINDS ALONG THE RIDGE AXIS ITSELF AND SWLY 20 KT NOTED BY 
SEVERAL BUOYS N OF 29N. ONLY CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE AN 
INCREASE IN THE S/SE RETURN FLOW BY LATE WED AS SFC PRESSURES 
FALL OVER TEXAS THEREBY INCREASING THE GRADIENT. ENHANCED 
GRADIENT PERSISTS INTO EARLY FRI BEFORE RIDGE BUILDS WWD ALONG 
28N ONCE AGAIN WITH LIGHTER WINDS SAT.  

SW N ATLC...
THIS EVENINGS QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED RIDGE AXIS ALONG 25N 
WITH SWLY WINDS OF 20 KT OVER THE FAR NW PORTION OF THE AREA.
ATLC RIDGE BUILDS WWD TODAY AND ALLOWS FOR THE 20 KT WINDS TO 
MOV N OF THE AREA. BY WED AND THU AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES 
IN OVER THE AREA LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS COVER A GOOD PORTION 
OF THE AREA W OF 70W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD 
FRONT MOVES INTO THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA FRI WITH NE WINDS 
PICKING UP TO 15 KT BEHIND THE FRONT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND 
THE FRONT ALONG 31N SETTLES SWD TO ALONG 29N SAT. HIGH PRESSURE 
RESULTS IN LIGHT ELY WINDS OF 10-15 KT MOST AREAS S OF THE RIDGE 
AXIS LATE FRI INTO SAT.   

CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
THIS EVENINGS QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED AN AREA OF 20 KT WINDS 
MAINLY E OF 75W. HURRICANE BUOY 42059 HAS REPORTED ELY WINDS OF 
20 KT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS WITH 8 FT SEAS. AREA OF WINDS
SPREADS WWD INTO THE SW CARIBBEAN TONIGHT INTO WED WITH WINDS
INCREASING TO 25-30 KT ALONG THE COLOMBIAN COAST WED. 
ACCORDINGLY THE NWW3 BUILDS SEAS TO 12-13FT IN THE AREA.   
WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE THU INTO SAT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE 
SETTLES IN OVER THE SW N ATLC. TRPCL WAVE CURRENTLY ALONG 48W/49W
REFLECTED IN THE GFS MOVES INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC TONIGHT
AND WED WITH AN AREA OF 20 KT WINDS DEVELOPING. BY THU THE MODEL 
LOSES FEATURE AND KEEPS A SPURIOUS AREA OF WINDS/VORTICITY ALONG 
60W.  

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...NONE.

CARIBBEAN...NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...NONE.

FORECASTER COBB