000
AGXX40 KNHC 020507
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
130 AM EDT SAT JUN 2 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER GULF TONIGHT BEGINNING TO LIFT NE SLOWLY 
BLOCKED BY A PERSISTENT RIDGE ALONG 72W. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT 
T.S. BARRY OVER SE GULF MOVING NNE 8 KT. BARRY FORECAST TO MOVE 
INLAND N CENTRAL FL SAT AFTERNOON. OLD TROUGH OVER ATLC 31N44W 
TO 21N60W DRIFTING E. ATLC RIDGE E OF 50W WITH MODERATE TRADES S 
OF 17N. OLD CONTINENTAL HIGH 1023 MB NEAR 31N60W MOVING E. 
STRONGEST WINDS BETWEEN 75W AND 87W N OF 18N TONIGHT.

LATER DAY 1 AS GULF SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NE..SYSTEM BEGINNING 
TO TAP NWLY FLOW OVER CENTRAL PLAINS. TROUGH STILL HAVING TOUGH 
TIME BUSTING THROUGH RIDGE ALONG 69W. MID LEVEL TROUGHING TAKING 
SHAPE OVER MID ATLC ALONG 50W. ON THE SURFACE LATER DAY 1 T.S. 
BARRY MOVING INLAND OVER N FL WITH INCREASING WINDS OVER ATLC W 
OF 74W. SOME CYCLOGENESIS TAKES SHAPE OVER MID ATLC WITH OLD 
TROUGH. 1024 MB HIGH DRIFTS E TO NEAR 31N58W. GULF WINDS 
DECREASE AS BARRY MOVES NE. 

FOR DAY 2 SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NE OFF CAR COAST AS MID LEVEL 
FLOW W OF 80W TURNS MORE NWLY. MID LEVEL TROUGHING OVER MID ATLC 
WEAKENS ALONG 48W. ON THE SURFACE DAY 2 WINDS REMAIN STRONG SW 
TO W OVER ATLC N OF 28N W OF 65W AS EXTRA-TRPL BARRY MOVES NE 
OFF CAR COAST. OTHERWISE ELY TRADES OF 20 KT EXTEND W TO 75W S 
OF 17N. GULF AND NW CARIB WINDS MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE. 

OUTLOOK PERIOD... 

FOR DAY 3 LARGE SCALE MID LEVEL TROUGH SETS UP OVER ERN CONUS 
WITH AXIS ALONG 80W. FLAT MID LEVEL RIDGE COVERS REGION ALONG 
20N. PERSISTENT WEAKNESS IN PRES FIELD OVER MID ATLC ALONG 50W. 
ON THE SURFACE DAY 3 WITH TROUGH FINALLY DISSIPATING OVER MID 
ATLC..RIDGING BEGINS TO TAKE SHAPE ALONG 23N WWD TO WRN GULF. 
SWLY WINDS TO 20 KT CONTINUES N OF 29N W OF 60W WHILE ELY TRADES 
REMAIN ABOUT THE SAME.

FOR DAY 4 LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH REMAINS STATIONARY ALONG 80W 
BUT MOST OF ENERGY IN THE FORM OF SHORTWAVES LIFTING NE OUT OF 
TROUGH WITH NO FURTHER SHORTWAVES ON THE HORIZON. FLAT MID LEVEL 
RIDGE HOLDS S OF TROUGH W OF 50W. MID ATLC TROUGH WEAKENS ALONG 
45W. ON THE SURFACE DAY 4 AREA MOSTLY DOMINATED BY WEAK ATLC 
RIDGE ALOGN 23N. LITTLE CHANGE TO OVERALL WINDS.

FOR DAY 5 UPPER TROUGH ALONG 80W BEGINS TO WEAKEN AS MID LEVEL 
RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER PLAINS. MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER REGION ALONG 
22N BUILDS NE OVER MID ATLC WHILE MID LEVEL TROUGHING HANGS ON 
ALONG 45W. ON THE SURFACE DAY 5 SOME INCREASE IN RETURN FLOW W 
OF 95W AS PRES DECREASES OVER PLAINS. ATLC RIDGE ALONG 23N WITH 
STRONGEST TRADES OVER CARIB TO 25 KT. ATLC TRADES S OF 17N 
MOSTLY 15 TO 20 KT. 

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
TRPL STORM WARNING N OF 24N E OF 86W TONIGHT SHIFTING NE SAT.

FORECASTER RRG