000
AGXX40 KNHC 200620
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
220 AM EDT SUN MAY 20 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

00Z QUIKSCAT SHOWED 15-20 KT WINDS IN THE NE GULF. GENERALLY LIGHT 
WINDS AND LOW SEAS...EXCEPT FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE NE 
AND E PORTION OF THE MIDDLE GULF WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUE. 
STRONGER HIGH PRES THEN BUILDS SW INTO THE NORTHERN GULF FROM THE 
MID ATLANTIC STATES THROUGH THU INCREASING WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE 
MIDDLE AND E GULF.

03Z ATLC SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SFC TROUGH FROM 30N67W THROUGH THE 
BAHAMAS TO CENTRAL CUBA. QUIKSCAT AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE 
WINDS NEAR 15 KT NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD E TO W 
ALONG 30N THROUGH MON WITH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT GOING TO 10-15 KT. 
WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE OVER MUCH OF THE SW N ATLC TUE EVENING 
THROUGH THU AS STRONGER HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC 
STARTS TO BUILD S-SW INTO THE AREA.
 
A CARIBBEAN TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO 18N82W THEN S TO A 
WEAK 1007 MB SFC LOW NEAR 12N81W. MODERATE E WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS 
THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. WINDS TO 25 KT AND 7-9 FT SEAS ARE OBSERVED 
S OF 16N BETWEEN 66W AND 75W. WINDS THERE WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH TO  
AROUND 15-20 KT MON THROUGH THU WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4-6 FT. NWP 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR A NEARLY STATIONARY TROUGH THROUGH 
TONIGHT WHICH THEN SLOWLY MOVES W ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA INTO 
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THU.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL