000
AGXX40 KNHC 190648
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
250 AM EDT SAT MAY 19 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK COLD FRONT HAS BECOME DIFFUSE AND DISORGANIZED IN THE GULF OF 
MEXICO. A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM AROUND 0000 UTC LAST NIGHT REVEALED MAX 
WINDS TO BE 15 KT N OF 25N EXCEPT TO 20 KT W OF 93W. RELATIVELY WEAK 
HIGH PRES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE GULF SUN THROUGH WED WITH GENERALLY 
LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS.

03Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK FRONT EXTENDING FROM 31N71W TO 27N80W. 
QUIKSCAT SHOWED AN AREA OF 20 KT WINDS LOCATED N OF THE FRONT E OF 
75W. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY LATER TODAY 
THEN DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUN. WHAT REMAINS OF THE FRONT 
WILL PERSIST AS A SFC TROUGH EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM 31N70W TO 24N75W.
HIGH PRES BUILDING E ALONG 30N WILL INCREASE ELY WINDS N OF 25N SUN 
THROUGH TUE...THEN STRONGER HIGH PRES BUILDS SOUTHWARD WED.

A CARIBBEAN TROUGH EXTENDS NNW FROM LOW PRES NEAR 11N80W TO 22N82W.
HIGH PRES RIDGE E OF 65W NOSING SW TO NEAR 23N IN COMBINATION WITH 
THE TROUGH IS RESULTING IN MODERATE E WINDS...GENERALLY AROUND 20 KT 
IN THE S CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. SEAS ARE 7-9 FT JUST N OF VENEZUELA AND 
COLOMBIA. EXPECT THESE ENHANCED WINDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUN 
BEFORE DIMINISHING EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SEAS SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 5 FT. 
TO THE W OF TROUGH WINDS ARE LIGHT...GENERALLY 10 KT OR LESS. MODEL 
GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER 
THE W CARIBBEAN SEA THROUGH TUE BEFORE DISSIPATING. WILL MAINTAIN A 
WEAK TROUGH OVER THE W CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL