000
AGXX40 KNHC 140650
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
250 AM EDT MON MAY 14 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK HIGH PRES OFF THE TEXAS COAST HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED. LIGHT 
WINDS CURRENTLY WILL INCREASE AS A BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO 
THE FAR NE GULF LATER THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY E 15-20 
KT N OF 28N MON THROUGH TUE. WINDS REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT ELSEWHERE. 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY THU WITH MINIMAL 
EFFECTS. AREAS OF SMOKE AND HAZE ARE EXPECTED TO DIMISISH TODAY.

THE REMNANT LOW OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA HAS MERGED WITH A COLD 
FRONT AND IS ACCELERATING NE...OUT OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. NE WINDS 
WILL INCREASE W OF THE FRONT TODAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE 
AREA LATE TONIGHT AND HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA TUE. THE HIGH 
WEAKENS WED WITH DECREASING WINDS. THE GFS IS ONCE AGAIN DEVELOPING 
A SFC LOW NE OF THE BAHAMAS THU AND FRI...WILL CONTINUE WITH CURRENT 
FORECAST KEEP MENTION OF A TROUGH INSTEAD OF LOW PRES.

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN 
FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO 15N83W. THIS TROUGH WILL DRIFT W TO ABOUT 84W 
TODAY THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU AND DISSIPATE FRI. 
ATLC RIDGE REACHING SW TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE E 
WINDS NEAR 20 KT OVER THE SE AND S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THIS PATTERN 
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH FRI.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL