000
AGXX40 KNHC 131643
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EDT SUN MAY 13 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK HIGH PRES CONTINUES OFF THE TEXAS COAST BUT WILL BECOME 
RATHER ILL-DEFINED BY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT 
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE A BACK-DOOR 
COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE FAR NE GULF BY MON MORNING. WINDS 
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE E 15-20 KT N OF 28N E OF 87W MON 
THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT ELSEWHERE. 
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST EARLY THU BUT 
IMPACTS WILL BE MINIMAL. AREAS OF SMOKE AND HAZE ARE LIKELY TO 
CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE EASTERN GULF TONIGHT BEFORE THE 
LOW-LEVEL FLOW TURNS OUT OF THE E LEADING TO IMPROVING 
CONDITIONS BY MON.

THE REMNANT LOW OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ANDREA IS IN THE ATLC NEAR 
31N73W...AND MOVING OFF TO THE ENE AT ABOUT 10 KT. THE LOW IS 
EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT. NE WINDS 
INCREASE W OF THE FRONT MON. THE FRONT WILL MOVE E OF THE AREA 
LATE MON NIGHT AND HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THE HIGH 
WEAKENS WED WITH DECREASING WINDS. THE GFS IS ONCE AGAIN 
DEVELOPING A LOW NE OF THE BAHAMAS THU AND FRI...WILL CONTINUE 
WITH CURRENT FORECAST KEEP MENTION OF A TROUGH.

WEAK SURFACE TROUGH CONTINUES TO ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN FROM 
CENTRAL CUBA TO 15N83W. THE TROUGH WILL DRIFT W TO ABOUT 84W 
LATE TONIGHT THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU AND 
DISSIPATE FRI. ATLC RIDGE REACHING SW TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS 
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE E WINDS NEAR 20 KT OVER THE SE AND 
S/CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND THIS PATTERN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH 
FRI.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS