000
AGXX40 KNHC 121736
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
140 PM EDT THU APR 12 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAK COLD FRONT FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO 26N95W STALL FROM 
TAMPA BAY TO BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE.  SE WINDS 
INCREASE LAT4E TONIGHT AND FRI AHEAD OF SECOND STRONGER COLD 
FRONT THAT MOVE OFFSHORE LATE FRI AND EXTEND FROM SW FLORIDA TO 
YUCATAN PENINSULA SUN. STRONG N WINDS BEHIND SECOND COLD FRONT.  
FRONT MOVE E OF AREA MON AND HIGH PRES BUILDS.

WEAK ATLC STATIONARY FRONT ALONG 29N WITH 1009 MB LOW PRES AT 
30N65W.  FRONT MOVE N TONIGHT AND HIGH PRES BUILD ON FRI AND 
THEN MOVE E SAT AS NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES OFF SE U.S. COAST EARLY 
SUN AND EXTENDS FROM 31N70W TO W CUBA MON.  WINDS INCREASE BOTH 
AHEAD AND BEHIND FRONT REACHING GALE FORCE WITHIN 360 NM E OF 
FRONT N OF 28N SUN AND SUN NIGHT.  GFS AND NAM APPEAR TO HAVE 
BETTER HANDLE ON GALE FEATURE.  NOGAPS SLOWER AND TAMER TOPPING 
WITH 25 KT WINDS.  ENSEMBLE REMAINS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ROAD IN 
TIMING AS WELL AS INTENSITY.  FORECAST TAKES ROAD OF LEAST 
REGRET WITH AGGRESSIVE GFS SOLUTION.  

NE TRADES ACROSS CARIBBEAN WEAKEN THU AS ATLC RIDGE IS DISPLACED 
BY FRONTS.
 
WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES