000
AGXX40 KNHC 081722
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
120 PM EDT SUN APR 8 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

AN INITIAL COLD FRONT IS STALLING FROM 31N55W TO E HISPANIOLA 
AND THEN ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS. A 
SECONDARY ILL DEFINED COLD SURGE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE 
INITIAL FRONT MON WITH THE COMBINED BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO 
COMPLETELY LOSE IDENTITY OVER WATERS W OF 55W ON WED. 

WEAK LOW PRES DEVELOPED THIS MORNING AS FORECAST OVER THE W 
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO JUST E OF BRO TX. A TROUGH EXTENDS S TO 
NEAR 20N95W AND ANOTHER TROUGH EXTENDING NE TO SE LA IS EXPECTED 
TO AMPLIFY EASTWARD TO THE FL BIG BEND MON AS THE LOW DRIFTS W 
OVER SE TX. THE SEGMENT OF THE TROUGH ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF 
WILL MOVE N MON NIGHT AND TUE...PERHAPS AS A WEAK WARM FRONT 
ACCOMPANIED BY TSTMS. 

BY THEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES SE OFF THE GA COAST PICKING UP 
THE REMNANTS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TROUGH AND LIFTING IT NE 
ACROSS N FL WITH THIS STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM BERMUDA 
TO 27N75W THEN BACK NW TO THE CAROLINAS ON THU NIGHT. THE NEXT 
COLD FRONT COMING OUT OF THE CENTRAL CONUS STALLS OVER THE LA 
AND TX COASTAL PLAINS THU. THE EXTENDED GFS SUGGESTS A SERIES OF 
FRONTS ON FRI...ONE OVER N TX AND ANOTHER SWEEPING SE OVER THE 
NORTHERN ATLC WATERS.

NLY WINDS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN STILL BLOWING AT 20 KT SUNRISE 
THIS MORNING BUT EXPECTED TO DIMINISH LATE TODAY AS ELY TRADES 
RESUME ALL TROPICAL WATERS AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI....EXCEPT 
LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES SE OVER NW CARIBBEAN TUE THROUGH FRI.
MODELS FLUCTUATING ON STRENGTH OF WINDS ALONG N COLOMBIAN COAST 
THROUGH PERIOD...EXPECT 20-25 KT MAX.
 
WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON