000
AGXX40 KNHC 071725
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST WED MAR 7 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
BROAD TROUGH IS NORTH OF 23N THROUGH SUN. NO SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVES 
WILL IMPACT THE AREA THROUGH SUN. A WEAK SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS 
THE SE U.S. THU AND FRI THEN WEAKEN OVER THE NW ATLC SAT. SOUTH OF 
23N A BROAD SUBTROPICAL RIDGE PERSISTS THROUGH SUN.

SURFACE...
RIDGE ALONG 32N WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY SE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES 
PAST THE ATLANTIC AREA THURSDAY. RIDGE BUILDS N OF THE AREA BEHIND 
THE FRONT THROUGH THU NIGHT...THEN STRONG HIGH PRES REINFORCES THE 
RIDGE FRI THROUGH SAT...WITH STRONG NE WINDS DEVELOPING IN THE SW N 
ATLC...WHICH THEN WEAKEN A LITTLE SUN.

A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO WILL BRING PLACID CONDITIONS
TO THE GULF THROUGH SAT. WINDS WILL START TO INCREASE SAT NIGHT AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO REACH THE TX COAST SUN NIGHT. LATEST GFS 
MODEL RUN SHOWS 30M WINDS SUN NIGHT AND MON OVER 30 KT IN NW GULF.

CURRENT PATTERN...WITH HIGH PRES RIDGE N OF THE CARIBBEAN AND A SFC 
TROUGH OVER NRN S AMERICA...WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS. SO 
LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE CARIBBEAN...AS STRONG TRADES UP TO 
30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. ATLANTIC TRADES WILL BE NEAR 
TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER MUNDELL