000 AGXX40 KNHC 280633 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 135 AM EST WED FEB 28 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO...REMNANTS OF DRY FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS E TO W ACROSS CENTRAL WATERS AND ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT N TODAY AS NEXT COLD FRONT DEVELOPS OVER W TX...AND MOVES OFF TX COAST AROUND NOON THU. BY SUNRISE FRI...THE COLD FRONT WILL DISSECT GULF WATERS FROM FL BIG BEND TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE...NOTE THAT THIS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN PREVIOUS GUIDANCE. HIGHEST NLY WINDS WILL BE 30 KT OVER W GULF WATERS BEHIND FRONT. THEREAFTER...THE COLD FRONT SLOWS AND ONLY REACHES A PSN FROM W CENTRAL FL TO E BAY OF CAMPECHE AROUND SUNRISE SAT. A SECONDARY SURGE WILL PUSH FRONT SE OF GULF AROUND SUNRISE SUN WITH HIGH PRES OVER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY RIDGING S THROUGH CENTRAL GULF WATERS INTO MON MORNING. ATLC... REMNANTS OF BROAD FRONTAL TROUGH ARE NOTED FROM SE BAHAMAS TO NEAR BERMUDA WHILE A COLD FRONT LIES ALONG 31N68W TO 29N80W. THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE SE MERGING WITH THE TROUGH WITH A SINGLE BOUNDARY BECOMING QUASI STATIONARY ALONG 24N AROUND SUNRISE THU. THE WESTERN SEGMENT OF FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NE BACK THROUGH BAHAMAS THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEXT COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE GA COAST SUNRISE FRI AND EXTEND FROM 31N69W TO CENTRAL FL SUNRISE SAT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD SW UNDER THE LIFTING WARM FRONT WITH THE GRADIENT SUPPORTING SLY 20-25 KT OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SECOND COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REACH PSN FROM BERMUDA TO SE BAHAMAS SUNRISE SUN AND FROM 30N60W TO WINDWARD PASSAGE SUNRISE MON. NLY WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL REACH 30 KT LATE SAT OVER NW WATERS AND 25 KT BAHAMA CHANNEL AND NW BAHAMAS THEN DIMINISH TO 15-20 KT SUN. FRESH 8-10 FT NE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO TROPICAL ATLC ZONE TODAY WITH GRADIENT TIGHTENING TO 20 KT RANGE FRI AND SAT AND 15-20 KT SUN BUT ENE SWELLS CONTINUING TO 10 FT. CARIBBEAN... NE-E TRADES FLUCTUATING AT MINIMAL GALE IN 30-35 KT OVER WATERS S OF 16N BETWEEN 77W AND 73W. ALTHOUGH TUE AFTERNOON QSCAT PASS MISSED AREA IT PAINTS ENOUGH 25 KT...AND A FEW 30 KT...BARBS ON EITHER SIDE OF AREA...AND BUOY 42058 240 NM N OF COAST AT 15N75W MAINTAINING A 25-30 KT SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS TO 36 KT. COLOMBIAN HEAT LOW EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP EACH DAY AND LATEST GFS SHOWS MINIMAL GALE THROUGH EARLY SUN SO WILL CONTINUE GALE WORDING IN THIS NEXT PACKAGE EXTENDED INTO SUN. ELSEWHERE E WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY THIS AFTERNOON THEN STRENGTHEN AGAIN THU THROUGH SAT WITH SOME E SWELL PROPAGATING THROUGH EASTERN PASSAGES. SLIGHT WEAKENING SUGGESTED SUN BUT E SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TROUGH EXPOSED EASTERN PASSAGES. SE FLOW EXPECTED IN 15-20 KT GULF OF HONDURAS TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN SPREADING NE OVER MOST OF THE NW ZONE BY THU NIGHT AND FRI THEN DIMINISHING TO MOSTLY 15 KT AGAIN SAT. SAT NIGHT A COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO NW WATERS WITH N WINDS 20-25 KT AND N SWELLS THROUGH YUCATAN CHANNEL BUILDING SEAS TO 10 FT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... GALE...AMZ084 INTO SUN. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER NELSON