000 AGXX40 KNHC 270618 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 AM EST TUE FEB 27 2007 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO...REMNANTS OF FRONT OVER EXTREME NE WATERS WILL SHIFT E OF AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE NEXT DRY COLD FRONT CURRENTLY APPROACHING TX E COAST WILL RACE SE ACROSS MOSTLY THE EASTERN GULF WATERS STALLING FROM SW FL TO E TX TONIGHT WITH THE WESTERN SEGMENT MOVING BACK N AS A WARM FRONT BY SUNRISE WED. BY SUNRISE THU A WEAK WARM WILL BE MOVING NE OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS WHILE THE NEXT STRONGER COLD FRONT RACES OFF TX COAST BY NOON THU. BY SUNRISE FRI THE COLD FRONT WILL DISSECT GULF FROM NW FL TO NW BAY OF CAMPECHE...BUT RAPIDLY LOSE ITS SE PUSH FRI NIGHT AND LIE STATIONARY FROM FL BIG BEND TO CENTRAL BAY OF CAMPECHE. SLY FLOW AHEAD OF FRONT WILL INITIALLY BE QUITE STRONG SUPPORTING 25 KT BUT WEAKEN JUST AHEAD OF FRONT TO MOSTLY 15 KT. ATLC... A WEAK COLD FRONT STRETCHES E TO W ALONG 30.5N BETWEEN 67W AND 81W. A REINFORCING NW SURGE WILL DRIVE THIS FRONT S TO ALONG 25N LATE TONIGHT...AND ALONG 22N AROUND SUNRISE THU. THEN THE W PORTION OF FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NE BACK THROUGH BAHAMAS THU NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF NEXT COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE INTO NW ATLC WATERS FRI AFTERNOON BUT STALL FRI NIGHT INTO SAT. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD SW UNDER THE LIFTING WARM FRONT WITH THE GRADIENT SUPPORTING SLY 20-25 KT OVER NW WATERS AHEAD OF THE SECOND COLD FRONT. THE CURRENT N 8-10 FT SWELL OVER WATERS E OF 62W HAS SPREAD S TO COAST OF S AMERICA. THESE N SWELLS SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT BUT FRESH 8-9 FT NE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO TROPICAL ATLC ZONE WITH GRADIENT TIGHTENING TO A 15-20 KT RANGE FRI AND SAT. CARIBBEAN... NE-E TRADES IN 25-30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA AND NE-E 20-25 KT ELSEWHERE S OF 18N BETWEEN 80W AND 65W. GFS MODEL IS FLUCTUATING SLIGHTLY...SO I EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ALONG COAST COLOMBIA THROUGH PERIOD. ELSEWHERE E WINDS WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY WED THEN STRENGTHEN AGAIN THU AND FRI WITH SOME E SWELL PROPAGATING THROUGH EASTERN PASSAGES. SE FLOW WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KT OVER NW WATERS THU NIGHT AND FRI THEN DIMINISH TO MOSTLY 15 KT AGAIN SAT. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER NELSON