000
AGXX40 KNHC 221717
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST THU FEB 22 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

HIGH PRES RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF EXTENDS ACROSS FLORIDA 
INTO THE WRN ATLC. WINDS IN THE GULF WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH 
FRI...THEN SLY WINDS INCREASE IN THE WESTERN GULF FRI NIGHT AND 
SAT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SAT NIGHT AND EXTEND FROM 
SE LOUISIANA TO 21N97W SUN THEN WEAKEN FROM THE FLORIDA BIG BEND 
TO 22N97W MON
THEN BECOME STATIONARY AND DIFFUSE FROM FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO 
20N96W TUE. THE GFS MODEL HAS BEEN CONSISTENT OVER THE LAST 
SEVERAL RUNS WITH LIGHT NLY WINDS W OF THE FRONT AND SLY WINDS 
15-20 KT E OF THE FRONT SAT NIGHT AND SUN THEN LIGHT WINDS MON 
AND TUE.

A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES THE NRN PORTION OF THE AREA TONIGHT. THE 
FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N65W TO 26N81W FRI AND FROM 25N65W TO E 
CUBA FRI NIGHT THEN DISSIPATING FROM 22N65W TO E CUBA SAT. WLY 
WINDS INCREASING TO 20-25 KT AND SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT FRI. 
VERY LARGE NW SWELLS MOVE INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE AREA FRI 
NIGHT AND SAT THE NWW3 INDICATES SEAS UP TO 20 FT BY SAT THE 
SWELLS SLOWLY DECREASE SUN. HIGH PRES BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA SAT 
AND DRIFTS E. SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD 
FRONT THAT APPROACHES THE N FLORIDA COAST LATE MON AND EXTENDS 
FROM 31N68W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA TUE.

QUIKSCAT SHOWS A FAIRLY TYPICAL TRADE WIND PATTERN IN THE 
CARIBBEAN WITH A SMALL AREA OF 25 KT WINDS NEAR THE COAST OF 
COLOMBIA. LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE IN THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. 
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE STRENGTHENS AGAIN MON AND TUE WITH A 
CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN TRADE WINDS.

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS