000
AGXX40 KNHC 190754
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
200 AM EST MON FEB 19 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
HIGH PRES SITS OVER GULF AS COLD FRONT EXITED SE PART.  STILL 
SOME STRONG WINDS LINGER E OF 85W AND N SWELLS REMAIN S OF 26N.
HIGH PRES MOVES E AND SLY FLOW SETS UP W OF 95W MON AND TUE AS 
ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSES CENTRAL TEXAS BUT IS UNABLE TO 
DISLODGE RIDGE FROM ITS GRIP OVER GULF.  IT WILL TAKE A SECOND 
EFFORT FOR REINFORCING COLD FRONT TO ENTER GULF WELL BEYOND 
FORECAST PERIOD. 

SW N ATLC...
COLD FRONT FROM 31N65W 23N70W 20N74W DRAGS GALE FORCE NW WINDS 
BEHIND IT FOR NEXT 24 HRS THEN SHIFT IT N.  HIGH PRES BUILDS N 
OF AREA LATE MON AND TUE WITH STRONG NE-E WINDS E OF 75W.  RIDGE 
ANCHORS ALONG 27N ALLOWING NEXT COLD FRONT TO BARELY SCRAPE NRN 
FRINGES OF SW N ATLC WITH LITTLE SRD INTRUSION.  THEREFORE WINDS 
DO NOT INCREASE MUCH ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY. 

CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...
FRONT OVER NW CARIBBEAN NEARLY STATIONARY FROM WINDWARD PASSAGE 
TO NE NICARAGUA WITH STRONG NE ALL ACROSS WRN CARIBBEAN.  ATLC 
HIGH PRES TIGHTENS GRADIENT ACROSS ENTIRE BASIN INCREASING WINDS 
TO 20-25 KT AND EVEN HIGHER ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA WHERE 1008 
MB LOW PRES TRIES TO GET ITS ACT TOGETHER.  GFS SOLUTION SHOWS 
LOW DEVELOPING WHILE UKMET IGNORES IT.  ENSEMBLE BACKS GFS BUT 
AT A MUCH WEAKER LEVEL AND THEN DEVELOPS LOW PRES VERY LATE IN 
WEEK...WELL AFTER FORECAST PERIOD. 

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
GALE WARNING N OF 29N E OF 72W...AMZ080.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES