000
AGXX40 KNHC 021754
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST FRI FEB 02 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM JUST N OF TAMPA BAY TO 
THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 21N97W. THE FRONT WILL MOVE TO SW 
FLORIDA TO 19N96W TONIGHT AND BECOME STATIONARY FROM THE STRAITS 
OF FLORIDA TO 19N95W SAT. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF SAT AND MERGE WITH THE FIRST FRONT FROM 
STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 19N94W. THE GFS HAS BACKED OFF ON THE GALE 
FORCE WINDS IN THE SW GULF. THIS HAS BEEN THE TREND OVER THE 
PAST SEVERAL RUNS...THE AREA OF GALE FORCE HAD BEEN FORECAST TO 
GET SMALLER AND SMALLER WITH EACH RUN...WITH THE LATEST RUN 
INDICATING 25 TO 30 KT WINDS SAT NIGHT AND SUN. HIGH PRES BUILDS 
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WINDS DECREASING BELOW 20 KT BY SAT 
NIGHT...WITH WINDS BELOW 20 KT ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF BY WED.

WINDS WILL DECREASE TO BELOW GALE FORCE IN THE ATLC TONIGHT SO 
WILL TAKE THE GALE WARNING OUT OF THIS PACKAGE. COLD FRONT WILL 
MOVE OFFSHORE THIS EVENING AND EXTEND FROM 31N71W TO 25N80W SAT 
AND FROM 30N65W TO WESTERN CUBA SUN AND BECOME STATIONARY. A 
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR MON AFTERNOON INCREASING THE WINDS 
AGAIN. THE FRONT THEN MOVES E OF THE AREA TUE.

STRONG TRADES CONTINUE ACROSS THE CARIBBEANS S OF 17N E OF 
81W/82W. THE WINDS DECREASE SOMEWHAT TUE AND WED HOWEVER THE 
WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR 30 KT NEAR THE COAST OF THE COLOMBIA 
THROUGH WED. THE LATEST GFS RUN BRINGS A COLD INTO THE NW GULF 
ON SUN FROM WESTERN CUBA TO 20N87W AND BECOMING STATIONARY. THE 
FRONT BECOMES DIFFUSE LATE MON.

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS