000
AGXX40 KNHC 011742
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST THU FEB 01 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

STATIONARY FRONT IN THE NW GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS FROM THE MOUTH 
OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO JUST S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THE FRONT 
WILL MOVE SE AS A COLD FRONT AND EXTEND FROM THE FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21N97W LATER TONIGHT. THE 
FRONT STALLS FROM SW FLORIDA TO 22N96W FRI...THEN A RE-ENFORCING 
SHOT OF COLD PUSHES S ON SAT WITH STRONG HIGH PRES BUILDING TO 
THE N AND THE NE WINDS INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT. THE FRONT WILL 
EXTEND FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 22N90W TO 18N94W. WIND ARE 
STILL EXPECTED TO REACH GALE FORCE LATE SAT NIGHT AND INTO SUN. 
THE FRONT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY MON...THE HIGH WEAKENS AND 
WINDS DECREASE.

RIDGE ACROSS THE ATLC WILL MOVE EWD TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT 
APPROACHES THE SE U.S. COAST. BUOYS OFF THE N COAST OF FLORIDA 
INDICATE THAT THE SLY WINDS BETWEEN THE RIDGE AND THE FRONT HAVE 
INCREASED TO 20-25 KT. THE WINDS WILL REACH GALE FORCE LATER 
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRI E OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT 
WEAKENS FROM 31N75W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA FRI NIGHT. THE FRONT 
WEAKENS FURTHER FROM 31N70W TO 25N80W SAT...THEN FROM 31N65W TO 
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA SAT NIGHT SUN...AND 27N65W TO FLORIDA 
STRAITS MON...WITH HIGH PRES ACROSS THE N PORTION OF THE AREA.
THE GFS DEVELOPS A LOW JUST OFF THE S COAST OF FLORIDA MON AND 
INTENSIFIES IT BY TUE AFTERNOON. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS DID NOT 
DEVELOP A LOW BUT INDICATED RE-ENFORCING FRONT WITH STRONG NLY 
WINDS BEHIND IT.

STRONG TRADES CONTINUE MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND E CARIBBEAN WITH 
THE STRONGEST NEAR THE COAST OF COLOMBIA. THE STRONG TRADES 
CONTINUE THROUGH MON THE DECREASE TUE. SLY WINDS INCREASE W OF 
84W TO 20-25 KT TONIGHT...THEN DECREASE SUN. THE GFS HAS BACKED 
OFF BRINGING THE FRONT INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN ON MON AND JUST 
BRUSHES THE AREA TUE.

ATLANTIC...
GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND EARLY FRI N OF 29N W OF 72W...AMZ080.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS