000
AGXX40 KNHC 261637
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1240 PM EST FRI JAN 26 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

COLD FRONT FRONT 31N55W TO E CUBA TO NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER 
WILL CONTINUE E AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF TROPICAL 
ATLC ZONE SAT. GALE CONDITIONS CONTINUE E OF FRONT AS PREVIOUSLY 
SET UP...BUT 10Z QSCAT PASS INDICATED THAT GALE CONDITIONS ALSO 
EXIST 240 NM W OF FRONT OVER WATERS N OF 29N. FRONT WILL LOSE 
IDENTITY OVER N PORTION TROPICAL ATLC ZONE SUN AS HIGH PRES 
SHIFTS RAPIDLY E ALONG 30N TO A PSN E OF BERMUDA SAT NIGHT 
SETTING UP FOR NEXT SHORTWAVE. LARGE N SWELLS ARRIVE NE 
CARIBBEAN PASSAGES BY SUNRISE SUN AND THEN BEGIN TO SUBSIDE 
AROUND SUNRISE MON.

BROAD TROUGH OVER SW GULF SHOULD LIFT N TO THE NW WATERS WITH A 
STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPING SE OVERRUNNING THE TROUGH SAT NIGHT. 
ALTHOUGH MODELS STILL HINTING AT FRONTAL WAVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG 
TROUGH...I WILL DROP MENTION OF SURFACE LOW PRES AND JUST GO 
WITH GRADIENT INCREASING TO 20-25 KT EITHER SIDE OF NORTHERN 
SEGMENT OF TROUGH...AND LATER THE MERGED BOUNDARY. MERGED 
BOUNDARY RACES E OFF GA COAST SUNRISE SUN WITH SLY FLOW 
INCREASING TO MINIMAL GALE AHEAD OF FRONT. I EXPECT MODELS ARE 
UNDERDONE W OF FRONT AND EXPECT THAT MINIMAL W-NW GALE WILL ALSO 
TRAIL FRONT AS IS HAPPENING ATTM. FRONT CLEARS SE GULF SUNSET 
SUN AS LOSES IDENTITY OVER NW CARIBBEAN MON...AND OVER N PORTION 
OF TROPICAL ATLC ZONE TUE. BY THEN...NEXT SHORTWAVE AT E TX 
COAST WITH GFS INDICATING A REPEAT WITH THIS FRONT ALSO LEAVING 
REMNANTS SW GULF WATERS BY SUNRISE THU.        

GRADIENT ALONG COAST OF COLOMBIA 25-30 KT RANGE THROUGH PERIOD. 

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
GALE WARNING...AMZ080.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON