000
AGXX40 KNHC 131640
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1130 AM EST SAT JAN 13 2007

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

A FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE SE PORTION OF THE ATLC WATERS WILL 
LOSE IDENTITY SUN. HIGH PRES N OF BERMUDA STILL SUPPORTING ELY 
FLOW ACROSS ALL WATERS WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED IN TROPICAL 
WATERS TILL TUE WHEN THE GRADIENT WEAKENS...EXCEPT FOR DEEP 
TROPICS ESPECIALLY ALONG COLOMBIAN COAST WHERE LITTLE CHANGE 
FORECAST THROUGH OUTLOOK PERIOD. FLOW GRADUALLY WEAKENS FROM W 
TO E THROUGH SUBTROPICS.   

MODELS CHANGING TIMING OF NEXT SHORTWAVE WHICH IS NOW EXPECTED 
TO MOVE INTO NW GULF OF MEXICO WATERS JUST PRIOR TO SUNRISE 
MON...AND OFF GA COAST AT SUNRISE TUE. FRONT IS QUITE STRONG 
OVER N ATLC WATERS AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING E TO THE N OF 26N... 
BUT STALL OVER GULF OF MEXICO ALONG 25N INTO BAY OF CAMPECHE TUE 
NIGHT...AND STALL OVER FL AND N BAHAMAS WED. THE FRONT WILL 
BEGIN TO MOVE N LATE WED OVER THE GULF WITH THE GFS SHOWING 
FRONTAL WAVE LOW DEVELOPMENT JUST E OF BRO AT SUNSET THU. NLY 
WINDS BEHIND COLD FRONT WILL BE 20-30 KT RANGE...EXCEPT TO GALE 
FORCE MON NIGHT TILL LATE TUE NIGHT SW GULF OF MEXICO.        

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE. GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED GMZ082 MON NIGHT TILL LATE TUE 
NIGHT.

FORECASTER NELSON