000
AGXX40 KNHC 271759
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM EST WED DEC 27 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

UPPER LEVELS...
ANTICYCLONE CENTERED EAST OF THE AREA NEAR 24N53W WITH 
ASSOCIATED RIDGE OVER MOST OF THE AREA.  SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW 
COVERS THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.
BY SATURDAY THE RIDGE WILL HAVE MOVED WEST TO OVER THE WESTERN 
CARIBBEAN WITH A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE ATLANTIC EAST OF 65W.  A 
STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL BE ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WITH THE 
ASSOCIATED TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE TROUGH WILL 
SLOWLY MOVE EAST AND BE ABSORBED BY THE WESTERLIES NORTH OF THE 
AREA BY MONDAY WITH A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO NORTH 
OF 25N AND THE RIDGE COVERING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.  BY 
MONDAY THE RIDGE IS AGAIN CENTERED EAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS 
WITH A CENTER NEAR 24N66W.

SURFACE...
FRONT OVER THE ATLANTIC FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE WILL BECOME DIFFUSE BY THURSDAY WITH RIDGE NORTH OF THE 
AREA DOMINATING THE FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA.  WIND WILL BE 
FAIRLY STRONG WITH ABOVE NORMAL TRADES IN THE CARIBBEAN AND 20 
TO 25 KT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW IN THE GULF OF MEXICO REGION.  A 
COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OFF 
THE TEXAS COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND BY SATURDAY NIGHT EXTEND FROM 
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND BY SUNDAY NIGHT 
A WEAKENING FRONT WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHEAST GULF.  MOST OF THE 
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT  WILL BE IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE 
FRONT IN THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN 
THE GULF AND ALSO THE WESTERN PART OF THE ATLANTIC AREA. WEAK TO 
MODERATE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTH GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND 
THE FRONT.  

WARNINGS...

ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER LL