000 AGXX40 KNHC 291927 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 PM EST WED NOV 29 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS MINIMAL OVER THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON THOUGH MODERATE TO FRESH ELY TO SELY WINDS CONTINUE...AS STRONG ATLC HIGH PRESSURE NE OF THE AREA INTERACTS WITH THE APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. WRN EXTENSION OF AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF FROM ITS CENTER OVER THE NW BAHAMAS...AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY N TO NW WINDS REACHING GALE FORCE LATE THU/EARLY FRI OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF. NW/N WIND WAVES WILL ALSO BUILD RAPIDLY BEHIND THE FRONT PEAKING NEAR 15 FT BY FRI MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE LATER FRI INTO SAT...WITH MUCH OF THE GLOBAL MODEL SUITE AGREEING THAT THE FRONT WILL STALL BETWEEN NE FLORIDA AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE OVER THE WEEKEND. REINFORCING HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE NW GULF SUNDAY TO INCREASE WINDS/SEAS AGAIN. FLORIDA STRAITS/FAR SE GULF ALSO EXPECTED TO SEE FRESH E FLOW AND STEEP E WIND WAVES THROUGH EARLY FRI BEFORE RELAXING SLIGHTLY INTO THE WEEKEND...AS SFC HIGH MOVES WELL NE OF THE AREA ALLOWING THE GRADIENT TO RELAX. CARIBBEAN AND TROP N ATLC... TRADE FLOW AT 15 TO 25 KT IS WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EASTERN U.S. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE THU AND PERSIST FRI AS THE HIGH PRES TO THE N STRENGTHENS AND SHIFTS SLIGHTLY SE OVER THE WESTERN ATLC. AT THIS POINT WINDS LOOK TO BE JUST BELOW GALE FORCE THOUGH OCCASIONAL GUSTS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN COLOMBIA/NW VENZUELA AND HISPANIOLA/ERN CUBA WHERE THE GRADIENT IS THE TIGHTEST. FRESH TRADE FLOW TO PERSIST CENTRAL CARIBBEAN INTO THE WEEKEND...WHILE RELAXING A BIT WRN AND ERN PORTIONS. SW N ATLC... 1028 MB HIGH PRES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST MAINTAINING FRESH TO STRONG NE TO E WINDS N OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS TO 28N. SIMILAR TRADE FLOW TO PERSIST OVER THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...THEN SHRINK TO MOSTLY S OF 24N AND E OF 76W INTO THE WEEKEND. THE LONG FETCH OF STRONG NE TO E WINDS BETWEEN THE HIGH PRES TO THE N AND FRONTAL TROUGH E OF THE AREA WILL ALLOW LARGE SWELLS TO BUILD...AND PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALSO EXPECTING 20 TO 25 KT SE WINDS OFF N FL E TO 77W LATE THU INTO FRI AS THE HIGH INTERACTS WITH AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM...THIS SUBSIDES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE ENERGY LIFTING NE OF THE AREA. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GALE WARNING GMZ080-082 THU EVENING/EARLY FRI. FORECASTER WILLIS