000 AGXX40 KNHC 290719 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 230 AM EST WED NOV 29 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... SHIP AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH ELY TO SELY WINDS OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND WESTERN GULF. UPPER RIDGE OVER NE GULF IS SHIFTING E AHEAD OF A STRONG TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST THU...FOLLOWED BY N TO NW WINDS REACHING GALE FORCE LATE THU/EARLY FRI OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF. UPPER TROUGH SUPPORT WILL WANE AS THE POLAR JET LIFTS OUT FRI/SAT NE...WITH THE COLD FRONT STALLING OVER THE CENTRAL GULF FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE SAT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE FRI INTO SAT. GFS IS SHOWING WEAK LOW PRES FORMING AT THE BASE OF THE STALLED FRONT NEAR THE YUCATAN. THIS MAY RESULT IN STRONG N WINDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF BY SUN. CARIBBEAN AND TROP N ATLC... PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EASING OVER THE CARIBBEAN AS THE SURFACE HIGH OFF THE CAROLINA COAST SHIFTS EASTWARD...AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING LIGHTER WINDS AS A RESULT. WINDS WILL VEER SLIGHTLY AS HIGH PRES TO THE N SHIFTS FURTHER E TODAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE THU AS THE HIGH PRES TO THE N STRENGTHENS AND SHIFTS SLIGHTLY S OVER THE WESTERN ATLC. LARGE E SWELL WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS TROP N ATLC AND INTO THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS RUN DEPICTS A WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM MOVING W INTO THE NRN TROP N ATLC THIS WEEKEND ENHANCING NE FLOW BETWEEN THE LOW PRES AND THE STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRES TO THE N. SW N ATLC... 1028 MB HIGH PRES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST MAINTAINING FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS JUST N OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS. THE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS TO SPREAD OVER MUCH OF THE SW N ATLC ...MAINLY S OF 27N...THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EWD TO THE N OF THE AREA. THE LONG FETCH OF STRONG NE WINDS BETWEEN THE HIGH PRES TO THE N AND LOW PRES TROUGH E OF THE AREA WILL ALLOW LARGE SWELLS TO BUILD...AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... GALE WARNING GMZ080-082 LATE THU/EARLY FRI. FORECASTER MUNDELL