000 AGXX40 KNHC 281824 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 130 PM EST TUE NOV 28 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... LATEST SHIP AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH ELY WINDS OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...AND FRESH TO STRONG SELY WINDS SO F THE MISSISSIPPI DELTA ON THE FRINGE OF 1028 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OFF THE CAROLINAS. SHIP OBSERVATIONS FROM THIS MORNING ALSO INDICATE LARGE ELY SWELL OVER THE N CENTRAL GULF...WHERE E STEADY E WINDS HAVE PERSISTED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. UPPER RIDGE OVER NE GULF IS SHIFTING E AHEAD OF A STRONG TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST ON THU...FOLLOWED BY NW WINDS REACHING GALE FORCE BY LATE THU/EARLY FRI OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF. THE SUPPORTING UPPER TROUGH WILL LIFT OUT FRI/SAT NE...LEAVING THE COLD FRONT TO STALL OVER THE CENTRAL GULF FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE SAT. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE FRI INTO SAT...HOWEVER LATEST COUPLE OF GFS RUNS ARE SHOWING WEAK LOW PRES FORMING AT THE BASE OF THE STALLED FRONT NEAR THE YUCATAN. THIS MAY RESULT IN STRONG N WINDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF BY SUN. CARIBBEAN AND TROP N ATLC... SHIP OBSERVATIONS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOW AREAS OF PERSISTENT FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS. WINDS WILL VEER SLIGHTLY AS HIGH PRES TO THE N SHIFTS E TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE STARTING THU ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC...AS THE HIGH PRES TO THE N THEN STRENGTHENS AND SHIFTS SLIGHTLY S OVER THE WESTERN ATLC. LARGE E SWELL WILL PROPAGATE ACROSS TROP N ATLC AND MOSTLY CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LATEST GFS RUN DEPICTS A WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM MOVING W INTO THE NRN TROP N ATLC THIS WEEKEND...ENHANCING NE FLOW BETWEEN THE LOW PRES AND THE STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRES TO THE N. SW N ATLC... 1028 MB HIGH PRES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST IS MAINTAINING STRONG NE WINDS IN THE WATERS JUST N OF THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS. EXPECT THE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS TO SPREAD OVER MUCH OF THE SW N ATLC...MAINLY S OF 27N...THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EWD TO THE N OF THE AREA. THE LONG FETCH OF STRONG NE WINDS BETWEEN THE HIGH PRES TO THE N AND POSSIBLY WEAK LOW PRES E OF THE AREA...WILL ALLOW CONTINUED LARGE SWELL TO MOVE INTO THE WATERS AS WELL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... GALE WARNING GMZ080-082 LATE THU/EARLY FRI. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN