000 AGXX40 KNHC 241844 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 134 PM EST FRI NOV 24 2006 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. GULF OF MEXICO... 1023 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL BUILD E OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS THROUGH MID WEEK. RECENT BUOY AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WINDS OVER THE SE GULF AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA...ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH... CONTINUE TO BE NE 15 TO 20 KT. THIS TREND WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID WEEK AS WINDS AND SEAS INCREASE AROUND THE EDGE OF THE HIGH PRES...RESULTING IN GENERALLY 15 TO 20 KT ELY FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL AND MOST OF THE WESTERN GULF BY TUE. CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL N ATLC... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM HAITI TO A 1006 MB LOW OFF THE N COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 11N79W. STRONG NLY WINDS PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN GULF BETWEEN THIS LOW AND HIGH PRES BUILDING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE LOW IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY W...ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE STRONG NLY FLOW OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH TOMORROW. FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL PERSIST HOWEVER OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN...WHERE THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN TIGHT. AS THE RIDGE TO THE N SHIFTS E...EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN TO INCREASE AS WELL...ALONG THE VENEZUELAN COAST THIS WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY MOST OF THE BASIN EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE TO FRESH E FLOW ALONG WITH LARGE SWELL PERSISTS OVER THE TROP N ATLC S OF HIGH PRES TO THE N AND E OF A WEAK TROUGH MIGRATING INTO THE LESSER ANTILLES. THE WINDS WILL SUBSIDE SLIGHTLY THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH SHIFTS E...BUT SEE INCREASING NELY FLOW E OF GREATER ANTILLES STARTING MID WEEK AS THE NEXT RIDGE BUILDS N OF THE AREA. SW N ATLC... STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N TO WINDWARD PASSAGE. MODERATE TO FRESH NLY WINDS PERSIST S OF 26N AS HIGH PRES BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WINDS WILL INCREASE OFF THE N FLORIDA COAST THIS WEEKEND IN ADVANCE OF THE RIDGE. MOST NWP MODELS SHOW INCREASED NE WINDS OVER THE ENTIRE SW N ATLC AREA THROUGH MID WEEK. HOWEVER...GFS AND TO A LESSER EXTEND THE NOGAPS...ARE SHOWING A LOW PRES AREA DEVELOPING NE OF THE REGION. THIS WILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST MODERATE TO FRESH E TO NE WINDS OVER THE BASIN AS THE HIGH PRES EMERGES OFF THE COAST. WARNINGS... ATLANTIC... NONE. CARIBBEAN... NONE. GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN