000
AGXX40 KNHC 271833
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
230 PM FRI OCT 27 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NW GULF
THIS MORNING...AND PRESENTLY EXTENDS FROM SE LOUISIANA SW TO 
JUST S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
TSTMS WITHIN 60-90 NM ITS E OF THE FRONT ARE ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL
SQUALL LINE. S-SW WINDS OF 20-25 KT EXISTS E OF THE FRONT TO 85W 
N OF 25N. THIS FLOW WILL SPREAD QUICKLY E ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL MOVE TO
A PSN FROM NEAR APALACHICOLA FLORIDA SW TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 
AND E BAY OF CAMPECHE EARLY SAT MORNING...THEN MOVE E OF THE 
GULF EARLY SAT EVENING. NW-N WINDS OF 20-30 KT ARE BEHIND THE 
FRONT WITH HIGHER GUSTS AS WELL ESPECIALLY OVER THE S PART OF
THE NW GULF AND OVER THE SW GULF. BUOY 42002 NEAR 25N95W REPORTED
A WIND SHIFT FROM SW 15 KT TO NW AT 37 KT DURING THE PAST
HOUR. EXPECT MAXIMUM SEAS TO REACH 11 FT BEHIND THE FRONT 
OVER THE NW AND MIDDLE GULF AND UP TO 13 FT OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE
SAT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NRN 
GULF THROUGH SE UNITED STATES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH
MON AND WELL N E OF THE GULF TUE ALLOWING FOR RETURN SLY
FLOW OVER THE W GULF MON AND TUE THEN BECOMING ELY WED.
 
ATLC AND CARIBBEAN...
DISSIPATING FRONT FROM 21N65W TO ALONG THE COAST OF THE 
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. NEXT COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE OFF FL COAST EARLY SAT MORNING EXTENDING FROM 31N72W 
TO NW BAHAMAS SAT NIGHT...AND FROM 31N68W TO CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUN 
THEN STALL FROM BERMUDA TO WESTERN BAHAMAS SUNRISE MON THEN 
MOVES E OF AREA LATER MON. A FRONTAL TROUGH LINGERS NEAR THE NRN 
AND WESTERN BAHAMAS LATER MON INTO TUE THEN DRIFTS NWD WED PER
GFS MODEL GUIDANCE. SE-S WINDS ALREADY INCREASING OVER THE FAR NW
ATLC AND TREND WILL BE FOR FURTHER INCREASING DURING REMAINDER
OF AFTERNOON THROUGH SAT IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND NW 
CARIBBEAN...BUT CONTINUES E ACROSS BERMUDA. WINDS N OF THE 
FRONTAL TROUGH WILL BE NE 15-20 KT MON AND TUE DECEASING SOME
WED. ATLC RIDGE BUILDS SE TO THE E OF THE FRONTAL TROUGH MON
AND TUE INCREASING TRADES ALSO TO 15-20 KT ACROSS THE TROPICAL
N ATLC N OF 14N AND OVER MUCH OF THE E CARIBBEAN SEA WITH SEAS 
IN THE 6-8 FT. OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC...A TROPICAL WAVE IS 
ALONG 57W S OF 20N MOVING W ABOUT 13 KT. THIS WAVE LOOKS RATHER 
IMPRESSIVE IN SATELLITE IMAGERY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH 
BURSTS OF CONVECTION WITHIN 300 NM ESE OF THE WAVE. AS THIS WAVE 
PROGRESS WWD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC AND 
THROUGH THE E AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA OVER THE NEXT 3-4 DAYS
...IT WILL BRING SOME ENHANCEMENT TO ELY TRADES ACROSS THESE 
WATERS.

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER AGUIRRE