000
AGXX40 KNHC 221655
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
100 PM SUN OCT 22 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...A COLD FRONT OVER NW WATERS RAPIDLY OVERRUNNING 
ITS PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OVER N CENTRAL WATERS ATTM. THE MERGED 
FRONT WILL MOVE TO PSN 30N84W 22N97W 00Z MON...24N80W 18N96W 12Z 
MON AND SE OF AREA AT 06Z TUE. BUMPED UP NLY WINDS AND SEAS THIS 
MORNING PACKAGE BEHIND FRONT WITH MODELS HINTING AT GALE FORCE 
GUSTS TONIGHT. HIGH PRES OVER W TX WILL SHIFT E REACHING PSN 
OVER E TX 12Z MON AND CONTINUE ENE ALONG 32N-35N AND MOVING 
OFFSHORE CAROLINAS 12Z THU. SLY RETURN FLOW BEGIN TO INCREASE 
OVER NW WATERS WED AND SPREADING E ALL WATERS THU IN ADVANCE 
NEXT SHORTWAVE MOVING SE OVER NW COASTAL PLAINS LATE THU...FL 
BIG BEND TO YUCATAN PENINSULA SUNRISE FRI AND SE OF AREA SUNSET 
FRI.

ATLC...BROAD AND PERSISTENT TROUGH FROM 25N65W TO HISPANIOLA 
WILL GRADUALLY FILL AS IT SHIFTS NE OF 65W TUE AND E OF 55W WED. 
SLY RETURN FLOW NW WATERS INCREASE A TAD IN ADVANCE OF COLD 
FRONT MOVING OFF GA COAST AROUND SUNSET TODAY REACHING PSN 
31N74W 24N80W 12Z MON AND FROM BERMUDA TO SE BAHAMAS 00Z TUE AND 
MOVE E OF THE AREA WED. HIGH PRES WILL MOVE OFF THE CAROLINAS 
12Z THU REACHING NEAR BERMUDA 12Z FRI WITH SW FLOW INCREASING 
AGAIN NW WATERS. LATE SEASON TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE TO ALONG 
55W MON AND 59W TUE. LATEST QSCAT BELOW 20 KT SO DROPPED FEATURE 
FROM HSF.

CARIBBEAN...A BROAD AND PERSISTENT TROUGH FROM HISPANIOLA TO 
GULF OF HONDURAS WILL WASH OUT BY TUE. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL MON NIGHT THEN DRIFT SE AND 
DISSIPATE OVER THE NW WATERS FROM E CUBA TO GULF OF HONDURAS 
THROUGH WED. NLY FLOW INCREASE TO 20-25 KT NW FRONT WITH LARGE 
SWELLS MOVING S INTO YUCATAN CHANNEL AROUND SUNRISE TUE REACHING 
NEAR BELIZE TUE NIGHT. GRADIENT INCREASES A LITTLE ALONG S 
AMERICAN COAST AFTER TUE. LIGHT WINDS NW WATERS THU SHIFTING TO 
N FRI BEHIND NEXT FRONT.  

WARNINGS...

ATLC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER NELSON