000
AGXX40 KNHC 141726
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM SAT OCT 14 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

DEEP LAYER HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH PUSHES COLD FRONT ACROSS SW N 
ATLC FROM 31N73W TO 25N80W WITH BRISK N TO NE WINDS W OF FRONT 
AND LIGHT WINDS E OF IT.  FRONT EXTENDS THROUGH GULF OF MEXICO 
TO DEVELOPING LOW PRES 1007 MB AT 22N97W.  LITTLE CONVECTION 
ALONG FRONT ITSELF...BUT ENDS NEAR LOW PRES BOOMING WITH 
NUMEROUS TSTMS COVERING ENTIRE SW GULF S OF 26N W OF 92W.  LOW 
PRES DRIFTS NE TIGHTENING GRADIENT ACROSS GULF WITH WINDS TO 20 
KT TODAY AND TONIGHT INCREASING UP TO 30 KT SUN AND SUN NIGHT 
BEFORE LOW GETS INLAND AND WINDS ABATE TO 20 KT MON AND TUE.  NW 
SW N ATLC STORY PARALLELS TIMING BUT NOT WITH WINDS NOT AS 
STRONG.  ATLC HAS ITS OWN LOW PRES TO TAKE CARE OF...

ATLC SURFACE LOW PRES AT 20N66W...JUST N OF PUERTO RICO...HAS 
BRISK WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.  LOW PRES FORECAST TO DRIFT 
TODAY AND TONIGHT THEN BE ABSORBED BY COLD FRONT MENTIONED 
ABOVE.  LOW PRES CAUSING PLENTY OF CONVECTION ON S SEMICIRCLE 
COVERING MOST OF PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA E OF 70W.  TSTMS 
SHOULD ABATE AS LOW PRES DRIFTS N LATE TONIGHT. 

CARIBBEAN SAT IMAGES INDICATE VERY DRY AIR MASS AND LIGHT 
GRADIENT AS A RESULT OF LOW PRES MENTIONED ABOVE. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CHANGE EXPECTED IN SPITE OF TROPICAL WAVE CRUISING ALONG 70W 
THIS AFTERNOON. 


WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE. 

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES