000
AGXX40 KNHC 101738
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
130 PM TUE OCT 10 2006

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT IN THE GULF OF MEXICO CURRENTLY 
EXTENDS FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO 23N90W THEN A TROUGH TO 
BROWNSVILLE TX. THE FRONT SHOULD BECOME DIFFUSE TONIGHT. ANOTHER 
FAST MOVING WEAK FRONT BRUSHES THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF 
WED BUT WILL LIKELY STAY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THE NEXT 
STRONGER FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE THU NIGHT WITH INCREASING NLY 
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. NW ZONE STILL BEING HIGHLIGHTED WITH 
GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRI. THE GFS IS THE ONLY MODEL THAT 
HINTS AT A POSSIBLE GALE...AND IT IS ONLY MARGINAL. THE NOGAPS 
AND THE NAM ARE WELL BELOW GALE FORCE. AS MENTIONED IN THE 
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE NORTHERN 
GULF REMAIN WARM AND THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF MIXING TO THE 
SURFACE SO WILL WITH THE CONTINUE THE HEADLINE...BUT IT MAY BE 
DROPPED IF LATER MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW LIGHT WINDS.

STATIONARY FRONT IN THE WESTERN ATLC FROM 31N70W TO THE STRAITS 
OF FLORIDA WILL DISSIPATE BY WED NIGHT. GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS 
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THU. THEN THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES OFF 
THE SE U.S. COAST FRI AND EXTENDS FROM 31N74W TO S FLORIDA SAT 
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS FROM 31N65W TO E CUBA SUN. SLY WINDS 
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT N OF 28N E OF THE FRONT AND BECOME NLY 
20 KT W OF THE FRONT SAT...THEN DECREASE SUN.

LIGHT TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED...THEN A TROPICAL 
WAVE APPROACHES THE AREA WITH SE WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT E OF 
THE WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLC ZONE WED NIGHT AND THU. THE WAVE 
WEAKENS AND MOVES INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN FRI AND WINDS 
DECREASE TO BELOW 20 KT...AND REMAIN BELOW 20 KT THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND.

WARNINGS...
ATLANTIC...
NONE.

CARIBBEAN...
NONE.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NONE.

FORECASTER DGS